MRF
Mrf Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Mrf Limited (MRF) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is MRF a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Mrf Limited (MRF) trades at ₹1,34,190,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 68/100.
On the numbers, Mrf Limited (MRF) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 68/100, weighing fairly valued at 23.0× earnings, ROE of 12.5%, a 66% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
MRF fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How MRF ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- MRF's market cap of 56,912 Cr ranks in the 92nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MRF's book value of ₹49,455 ranks in the top 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MRF's promoter holding of 27.8% ranks in the 6th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MRF's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 52.0% ranks in the 84th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MRF's 3-year revenue growth of 11.0% ranks in the 53rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MRF's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.15x is lower than 69% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is MRF overvalued? MRF P/E vs peers
MRF trades at 23.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
MRF share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of MRF history (13%/yr drift, 23%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MRF 2027 | ₹1,09,950 | ₹1,47,177 | ₹1,97,009 | +10% |
| MRF 2028 | ₹1,06,904 | ₹1,61,421 | ₹2,43,738 | +20% |
| MRF 2029 | ₹1,06,813 | ₹1,77,043 | ₹2,93,449 | +32% |
| MRF 2030 | ₹1,09,247 | ₹1,94,177 | ₹3,45,133 | +45% |
| MRF 2031 | ₹1,11,364 | ₹2,12,970 | ₹4,07,279 | +59% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability MRF goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for MRF
- MRF's P/E of 23.0x is lower than 57% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MRF's return on equity of 12.5% ranks in the 61st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 66% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,47,177 (+10%).
- Relatively low volatility (23%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,93,449.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,06,813.
MRF volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years MRF compounded at 13%/year with annualized volatility of 23%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,09,950-₹1,97,009, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
MRF price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
MRF price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds MRF hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the MRF price target & forecast page.
MRF Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. MRF scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
MRF MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MRF with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 26.88% | 3.7× |
| Zerodha | 26.85% | 3.7× |
| Groww | 26.95% | 3.7× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 26.85% | 3.7× |
| Kotak Neo | 26.88% | 3.7× |
| Paytm Money | 27.27% | 3.7× |
| Pocketful | 27.13% | 3.7× |
| Fyers | 27.03% | 3.7× |
| Anand Rathi | 26.85% | 3.7× |
| Bajaj Broking | 28.00% | 3.6× |
| Share India | 26.93% | 3.7× |
Compare every broker on the MRF MTF page.
About Mrf Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Mrf Limited (MRF) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹56,912 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the MRF Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Mrf Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
MRF analysis, FAQs
Is Mrf Limited (MRF) a good buy?
On the numbers, Mrf Limited (MRF) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 68/100, weighing fairly valued at 23.0× earnings, ROE of 12.5%, a 66% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is MRF overvalued or undervalued?
MRF trades at 23.0× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the MRF share price target for 2031?
MRF's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹2,12,970, with an 80% range of ₹1,11,364-₹4,07,279 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability MRF doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of MRF reaching ₹2,68,380 (2×) within 5 years is 33%.
What is the bull case for MRF?
MRF's P/E of 23.0x is lower than 57% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. MRF's return on equity of 12.5% ranks in the 61st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 66% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,47,177 (+10%).
What are the risks in MRF?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.