MSTCLTD
MSTCLTD
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
MSTCLTD (MSTCLTD) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is MSTCLTD a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
MSTCLTD (MSTCLTD) trades at ₹690,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100.
On the numbers, MSTCLTD (MSTCLTD) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing fairly valued at 22.2× earnings, ROE of 26.6%, a 31% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
MSTCLTD fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is MSTCLTD overvalued? MSTCLTD P/E vs its sector
MSTCLTD's P/E of 22.2× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 5.87% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.67%.
MSTCLTD share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of MSTCLTD history (-12%/yr drift, 45%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSTCLTD 2027 | ₹312 | ₹557 | ₹995 | -20% |
| MSTCLTD 2028 | ₹199 | ₹442 | ₹998 | -36% |
| MSTCLTD 2029 | ₹128 | ₹356 | ₹973 | -49% |
| MSTCLTD 2030 | ₹89 | ₹282 | ₹919 | -59% |
| MSTCLTD 2031 | ₹62 | ₹226 | ₹823 | -67% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability MSTCLTD goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for MSTCLTD
- A 22.2× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
- High return on equity (26.6%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- Strong ROCE (30.3%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Pays a 5.9% dividend yield, so you're partly paid to wait.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹973.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 31% chance of finishing above today's price.
- High historical volatility (45%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹128.
MSTCLTD volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years MSTCLTD compounded at -12%/year with annualized volatility of 45%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹312–₹995, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
MSTCLTD price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
MSTCLTD price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds MSTCLTD hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the MSTCLTD price target & forecast page.
MSTCLTD Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. MSTCLTD scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
MSTCLTD MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MSTCLTD with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 37.9% | 2.6× |
Compare every broker on the MSTCLTD MTF page.
MSTCLTD vs peers,sector comparison
About MSTCLTD: sector, index & market-cap context
MSTCLTD (MSTCLTD) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹4,857 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the MSTCLTD Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of MSTCLTD's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
MSTCLTD analysis, FAQs
Is MSTCLTD (MSTCLTD) a good buy?
On the numbers, MSTCLTD (MSTCLTD) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing fairly valued at 22.2× earnings, ROE of 26.6%, a 31% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is MSTCLTD overvalued or undervalued?
MSTCLTD trades at 22.2× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the MSTCLTD share price target for 2031?
MSTCLTD's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹226, with an 80% range of ₹62–₹823 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability MSTCLTD doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of MSTCLTD reaching ₹1,386 (2×) within 5 years is 4%.
What is the bull case for MSTCLTD?
A 22.2× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. High return on equity (26.6%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (30.3%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in MSTCLTD?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 31% chance of finishing above today's price. High historical volatility (45%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.