MSUMI
Motherson Sumi Wiring India Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Motherson Sumi Wiring India Limited (MSUMI) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is MSUMI a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Motherson Sumi Wiring India Limited (MSUMI) trades at ₹41,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100.
On the numbers, Motherson Sumi Wiring India Limited (MSUMI) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing expensive at 43.5× earnings, ROE of 32.4%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
MSUMI fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How MSUMI ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- MSUMI's market cap of 27,296 Cr ranks in the 87th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MSUMI's book value of ₹3 ranks in the 7th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MSUMI's promoter holding of 61.7% ranks in the 55th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MSUMI's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 9.0% ranks in the 41st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MSUMI's 3-year revenue growth of 18.0% ranks in the 69th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MSUMI's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.11x is lower than 75% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is MSUMI overvalued? MSUMI P/E vs peers
MSUMI trades at 43.5× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
MSUMI share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 4.3y of MSUMI history (8%/yr drift, 28%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSUMI 2027 | ₹30 | ₹43 | ₹62 | +6% |
| MSUMI 2028 | ₹28 | ₹46 | ₹76 | +12% |
| MSUMI 2029 | ₹26 | ₹48 | ₹90 | +18% |
| MSUMI 2030 | ₹25 | ₹51 | ₹104 | +24% |
| MSUMI 2031 | ₹24 | ₹54 | ₹120 | +31% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability MSUMI goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for MSUMI
- MSUMI's return on equity of 32.4% ranks in the top 5% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MSUMI's return on capital employed of 38.9% ranks in the top 4% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹90.
The bear case & risks
- MSUMI's P/E of 43.5x is lower than 30% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- A steep 12.6× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹26.
MSUMI volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 4.3 years MSUMI compounded at 8%/year with annualized volatility of 28%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹30-₹62, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
MSUMI price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
MSUMI price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds MSUMI hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the MSUMI price target & forecast page.
MSUMI Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. MSUMI scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
MSUMI MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MSUMI with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 29.60% | 3.4× |
| Zerodha | 29.56% | 3.4× |
| Groww | 29.63% | 3.4× |
| Dhan | 29.56% | 3.4× |
| Kotak Neo | 30.03% | 3.3× |
| Paytm Money | 29.87% | 3.3× |
| Pocketful | 29.60% | 3.4× |
| Anand Rathi | 29.56% | 3.4× |
| Bajaj Broking | 30.00% | 3.3× |
| Share IndiaCHEAPEST | 29.45% | 3.4× |
Compare every broker on the MSUMI MTF page.
About Motherson Sumi Wiring India Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Motherson Sumi Wiring India Limited (MSUMI) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹27,296 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the MSUMI Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Motherson Sumi Wiring India Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
MSUMI analysis, FAQs
Is Motherson Sumi Wiring India Limited (MSUMI) a good buy?
On the numbers, Motherson Sumi Wiring India Limited (MSUMI) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing expensive at 43.5× earnings, ROE of 32.4%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is MSUMI overvalued or undervalued?
MSUMI trades at 43.5× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the MSUMI share price target for 2031?
MSUMI's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹54, with an 80% range of ₹24-₹120 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability MSUMI doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of MSUMI reaching ₹82 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.
What is the bull case for MSUMI?
MSUMI's return on equity of 32.4% ranks in the top 5% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. MSUMI's return on capital employed of 38.9% ranks in the top 4% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in MSUMI?
MSUMI's P/E of 43.5x is lower than 30% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 12.6× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.