MTARTECH
MTAR Technologies
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
MTAR Technologies (MTARTECH) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is MTARTECH a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
MTAR Technologies (MTARTECH) trades at ₹8,294,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 36/100.
On the numbers, MTAR Technologies (MTARTECH) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 36/100, weighing expensive at 264.0× earnings, ROE of 12.5%, a 90% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
MTARTECH fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is MTARTECH overvalued? MTARTECH P/E vs its sector
MTARTECH's P/E of 264.0× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.
MTARTECH share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of MTARTECH history (76%/yr drift, 49%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTARTECH 2027 | ₹8,414 | ₹15,727 | ₹29,622 | +88% |
| MTARTECH 2028 | ₹12,177 | ₹29,850 | ₹72,775 | +256% |
| MTARTECH 2029 | ₹19,073 | ₹56,554 | ₹1,71,799 | +575% |
| MTARTECH 2030 | ₹30,235 | ₹1,05,862 | ₹3,86,890 | +1164% |
| MTARTECH 2031 | ₹49,415 | ₹2,02,721 | ₹8,44,351 | +2321% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability MTARTECH goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for MTARTECH
- A healthy 12.5% return on equity.
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 90% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹15,727 (+88%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,71,799.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 264.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- A steep 31.1× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- High historical volatility (49%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹19,073.
MTARTECH volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years MTARTECH compounded at 76%/year with annualized volatility of 49%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹8,414–₹29,622, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
MTARTECH price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
MTARTECH price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds MTARTECH hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the MTARTECH price target & forecast page.
MTARTECH Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. MTARTECH scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
MTARTECH MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MTARTECH with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 42.2% | 2.4× |
| Groww | 42.3% | 2.4× |
Compare every broker on the MTARTECH MTF page.
MTARTECH vs peers,sector comparison
About MTAR Technologies: sector, index & market-cap context
MTAR Technologies (MTARTECH) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹25,526 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the MTARTECH Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of MTAR Technologies's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
MTARTECH analysis, FAQs
Is MTAR Technologies (MTARTECH) a good buy?
On the numbers, MTAR Technologies (MTARTECH) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 36/100, weighing expensive at 264.0× earnings, ROE of 12.5%, a 90% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is MTARTECH overvalued or undervalued?
MTARTECH trades at 264.0× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the MTARTECH share price target for 2031?
MTARTECH's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹2,02,721, with an 80% range of ₹49,415–₹8,44,351 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability MTARTECH doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of MTARTECH reaching ₹16,749 (2×) within 5 years is 99%.
What is the bull case for MTARTECH?
A healthy 12.5% return on equity. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 90% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹15,727 (+88%).
What are the risks in MTARTECH?
A rich 264.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 31.1× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.