Case study

MTARTECH

MTAR TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED

Tread carefully1y model -1.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

36Score

MTAR TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED (MTARTECH) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is MTARTECH a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

MTAR TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED (MTARTECH) trades at ₹7,086,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 36/100.

On the numbers, MTAR TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED (MTARTECH) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 36/100, weighing expensive at 160.0× earnings, ROE of 12.5%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

MTARTECH fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹21,795 Cr
Current price
₹7,086
P/E ratio
160.0×
P/B ratio
26.54×
Book value
₹267
ROCE
15.1%
ROE
12.5%
Piotroski F-Score
4/8

How MTARTECH ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is MTARTECH overvalued? MTARTECH P/E vs peers

MTARTECH trades at 160.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

MTARTECH share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 5.3y of MTARTECH history (35%/yr drift, 51%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
MTARTECH 2027₹3,623₹6,981₹13,450-1%
MTARTECH 2028₹2,704₹6,878₹17,495-3%
MTARTECH 2029₹2,129₹6,776₹21,564-4%
MTARTECH 2030₹1,760₹6,676₹25,324-6%
MTARTECH 2031₹1,493₹6,577₹28,983-7%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability MTARTECH goes up, or doubles?

49%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
47%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
25%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹14,171 within 5 years

The bull case for MTARTECH

  • MTARTECH's return on equity of 12.5% ranks in the 61st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹21,564.

The bear case & risks

  • MTARTECH's P/E of 160.0x is lower than 6% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A steep 26.5× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • High historical volatility (51%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹2,129.

MTARTECH volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 5.3 years MTARTECH compounded at 35%/year with annualized volatility of 51%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹3,623-₹13,450, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

MTARTECH price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 5.3 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
1.5%
80% range₹3,623-₹13,450
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)8%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
4.4%
80% range₹2,129-₹21,564
P(price ↑)48%
P(price 2×)21%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
7.2%
80% range₹1,493-₹28,983
P(price ↑)47%
P(price 2×)25%

MTARTECH price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
MTARTECH simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds MTARTECH hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the MTARTECH price target & forecast page.

MTARTECH Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?

4/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. MTARTECH scores 4/8, mixed financial health.

MTARTECH MTF margin & leverage across 1 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MTARTECH with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 1 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
FyersCHEAPEST100.00%1.0×

Compare every broker on the MTARTECH MTF page.

About MTAR TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

MTAR TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED (MTARTECH) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹21,795 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the MTARTECH Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of MTAR TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

MTARTECH analysis, FAQs

Is MTAR TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED (MTARTECH) a good buy?

On the numbers, MTAR TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED (MTARTECH) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 36/100, weighing expensive at 160.0× earnings, ROE of 12.5%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is MTARTECH overvalued or undervalued?

MTARTECH trades at 160.0× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the MTARTECH share price target for 2031?

MTARTECH's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹6,577, with an 80% range of ₹1,493-₹28,983 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability MTARTECH doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of MTARTECH reaching ₹14,171 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.

What is the bull case for MTARTECH?

MTARTECH's return on equity of 12.5% ranks in the 61st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in MTARTECH?

MTARTECH's P/E of 160.0x is lower than 6% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 26.5× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. High historical volatility (51%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on MTARTECH