Case study

MUFTI

MUFTI

Worth a closer look1y model -35.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

MUFTI (MUFTI) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is MUFTI a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

MUFTI (MUFTI) trades at ₹91,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 69/100.

On the numbers, MUFTI (MUFTI) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 69/100, weighing inexpensive at 8.6× earnings, ROE of 18.4%, a 18% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

MUFTI fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹597 Cr
Current price
₹91
P/E ratio
8.6×
P/B ratio
1.45×
Book value
₹63
Dividend yield
3.29%
ROCE
19.1%
ROE
18.4%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is MUFTI overvalued? MUFTI P/E vs its sector

MUFTI's P/E of 8.6× sits below the sector peer median of 14.7×, so on earnings it screens cheaper than peers, while its 3.29% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.67%.

MUFTI P/E
8.6×
Peer median P/E
14.7×
MUFTI div yield
3.29%
Peer median yield
1.67%

MUFTI share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of MUFTI history (-32%/yr drift, 48%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
MUFTI 2027₹31₹58₹107-35%
MUFTI 2028₹16₹37₹89-58%
MUFTI 2029₹8₹24₹71-73%
MUFTI 2030₹5₹16₹54-83%
MUFTI 2031₹3₹10₹40-89%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability MUFTI goes up, or doubles?

18%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
2%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
0%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹180 within 5 years

The bull case for MUFTI

  • Trades at just 8.6× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection.
  • Low price-to-book of 1.45×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • High return on equity (18.4%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
  • Strong ROCE (19.1%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
  • Pays a 3.3% dividend yield, so you're partly paid to wait.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹71.

The bear case & risks

  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 18% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹8.

MUFTI volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years MUFTI compounded at -32%/year with annualized volatility of 48%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹31₹107, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

MUFTI price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
35.3%
80% range₹31–₹107
P(price ↑)18%
P(price 2×)1%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
73.0%
80% range₹8–₹71
P(price ↑)6%
P(price 2×)1%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
88.7%
80% range₹3–₹40
P(price ↑)2%
P(price 2×)0%

MUFTI price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
MUFTI simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds MUFTI hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the MUFTI price target & forecast page.

MUFTI Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. MUFTI scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

MUFTI MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MUFTI with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
DhanCHEAPEST50.0%2.0×

Compare every broker on the MUFTI MTF page.

MUFTI vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
MUFTI (this stock)8.6×3.29%₹597 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About MUFTI: sector, index & market-cap context

MUFTI (MUFTI) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹597 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the MUFTI Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of MUFTI's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

MUFTI analysis, FAQs

Is MUFTI (MUFTI) a good buy?

On the numbers, MUFTI (MUFTI) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 69/100, weighing inexpensive at 8.6× earnings, ROE of 18.4%, a 18% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is MUFTI overvalued or undervalued?

MUFTI trades at 8.6× earnings versus a peer median of 14.7×, so it screens cheaper than its sector peers.

What is the MUFTI share price target for 2031?

MUFTI's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹10, with an 80% range of ₹3₹40 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability MUFTI doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of MUFTI reaching ₹180 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.

What is the bull case for MUFTI?

Trades at just 8.6× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection. Low price-to-book of 1.45×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets. High return on equity (18.4%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.

What are the risks in MUFTI?

The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 18% chance of finishing above today's price. High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on MUFTI