MUKANDLTD
Mukand
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Mukand (MUKANDLTD) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is MUKANDLTD a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Mukand (MUKANDLTD) trades at ₹138,on the numbers it screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 70/100.
On the numbers, Mukand (MUKANDLTD) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 70/100, weighing inexpensive at 3.3× earnings, ROE of 48.9%, a 32% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
MUKANDLTD fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is MUKANDLTD overvalued? MUKANDLTD P/E vs its sector
MUKANDLTD's P/E of 3.3× sits below the sector peer median of 14.7×, so on earnings it screens cheaper than peers, while its 1.45% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
MUKANDLTD share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of MUKANDLTD history (-11%/yr drift, 43%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MUKANDLTD 2027 | ₹65 | ₹111 | ₹192 | -18% |
| MUKANDLTD 2028 | ₹42 | ₹91 | ₹200 | -33% |
| MUKANDLTD 2029 | ₹29 | ₹76 | ₹192 | -44% |
| MUKANDLTD 2030 | ₹21 | ₹62 | ₹183 | -54% |
| MUKANDLTD 2031 | ₹15 | ₹50 | ₹169 | -63% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability MUKANDLTD goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for MUKANDLTD
- Trades at just 3.3× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection.
- Low price-to-book of 1.31×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- High return on equity (48.9%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- Strong ROCE (23.1%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹192.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 32% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹29.
MUKANDLTD volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years MUKANDLTD compounded at -11%/year with annualized volatility of 43%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹65–₹192, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
MUKANDLTD price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
MUKANDLTD price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds MUKANDLTD hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the MUKANDLTD price target & forecast page.
MUKANDLTD Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. MUKANDLTD scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
MUKANDLTD MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MUKANDLTD with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| Zerodha | 50.0% | 2.0× |
| Dhan | 40.0% | 2.5× |
Compare every broker on the MUKANDLTD MTF page.
MUKANDLTD vs peers,sector comparison
About Mukand: sector, index & market-cap context
Mukand (MUKANDLTD) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,981 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the MUKANDLTD Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Mukand's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
MUKANDLTD analysis, FAQs
Is Mukand (MUKANDLTD) a good buy?
On the numbers, Mukand (MUKANDLTD) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 70/100, weighing inexpensive at 3.3× earnings, ROE of 48.9%, a 32% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is MUKANDLTD overvalued or undervalued?
MUKANDLTD trades at 3.3× earnings versus a peer median of 14.7×, so it screens cheaper than its sector peers.
What is the MUKANDLTD share price target for 2031?
MUKANDLTD's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹50, with an 80% range of ₹15–₹169 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability MUKANDLTD doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of MUKANDLTD reaching ₹272 (2×) within 5 years is 4%.
What is the bull case for MUKANDLTD?
Trades at just 3.3× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection. Low price-to-book of 1.31×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets. High return on equity (48.9%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
What are the risks in MUKANDLTD?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 32% chance of finishing above today's price.