Case study

NAHARPOLY

NAHARPOLY

Mixed signals1y model -0.8%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

52Score

NAHARPOLY (NAHARPOLY) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is NAHARPOLY a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

NAHARPOLY (NAHARPOLY) trades at ₹237,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100.

On the numbers, NAHARPOLY (NAHARPOLY) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing inexpensive at 8.1× earnings, ROE of 9.4%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

NAHARPOLY fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹583 Cr
Current price
₹237
P/E ratio
8.1×
P/B ratio
0.67×
Book value
₹353
Dividend yield
0.42%
ROCE
10.7%
ROE
9.4%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How NAHARPOLY ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is NAHARPOLY overvalued? NAHARPOLY P/E vs peers

NAHARPOLY trades at 8.1× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

NAHARPOLY share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of NAHARPOLY history (15%/yr drift, 49%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
NAHARPOLY 2027₹124₹235₹445-1%
NAHARPOLY 2028₹94₹233₹579-2%
NAHARPOLY 2029₹76₹232₹710-2%
NAHARPOLY 2030₹64₹230₹822-3%
NAHARPOLY 2031₹55₹228₹951-4%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability NAHARPOLY goes up, or doubles?

49%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
49%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
25%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹474 within 5 years

The bull case for NAHARPOLY

  • NAHARPOLY's P/E of 8.1x is lower than 90% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Low price-to-book of 0.67×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹710.

The bear case & risks

  • NAHARPOLY's return on equity of 9.4% ranks in the 46th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (49%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹76.

NAHARPOLY volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years NAHARPOLY compounded at 15%/year with annualized volatility of 49%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹124-₹445, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

NAHARPOLY price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
0.8%
80% range₹124-₹445
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)8%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
2.3%
80% range₹76-₹710
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
3.7%
80% range₹55-₹951
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)25%

NAHARPOLY price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
NAHARPOLY simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds NAHARPOLY hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the NAHARPOLY price target & forecast page.

NAHARPOLY Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. NAHARPOLY scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

NAHARPOLY MTF margin & leverage across 1 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy NAHARPOLY with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 1 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Share IndiaCHEAPEST36.43%2.7×

Compare every broker on the NAHARPOLY MTF page.

About NAHARPOLY: sector, index & market-cap context

NAHARPOLY (NAHARPOLY) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹583 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the NAHARPOLY Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of NAHARPOLY's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

NAHARPOLY analysis, FAQs

Is NAHARPOLY (NAHARPOLY) a good buy?

On the numbers, NAHARPOLY (NAHARPOLY) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing inexpensive at 8.1× earnings, ROE of 9.4%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is NAHARPOLY overvalued or undervalued?

NAHARPOLY trades at 8.1× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the NAHARPOLY share price target for 2031?

NAHARPOLY's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹228, with an 80% range of ₹55-₹951 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability NAHARPOLY doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of NAHARPOLY reaching ₹474 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.

What is the bull case for NAHARPOLY?

NAHARPOLY's P/E of 8.1x is lower than 90% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 0.67×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.

What are the risks in NAHARPOLY?

NAHARPOLY's return on equity of 9.4% ranks in the 46th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (49%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

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