NATIONSTD
National Standard (India) Ltd
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
National Standard (India) Ltd (NATIONSTD) Stock Analysis & Case Study
What the numbers say about NATIONSTD, and the method behind each one.
National Standard (India) Ltd (NATIONSTD) trades at ₹156,on the numbers it screens weak, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 34/100.
On the numbers, National Standard (India) Ltd (NATIONSTD) screens weak, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 34/100, weighing premium at 27.6× earnings, ROE of 3.5%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
NATIONSTD fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How NATIONSTD ranks against the 2,979 companies in our screener
- NATIONSTD's market cap of 310 Cr ranks in the 32nd percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
- NATIONSTD's book value of ₹141 ranks in the 69th percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
- NATIONSTD's promoter holding of 73.9% ranks in the 87th percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
- NATIONSTD's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 5.0% ranks in the 33rd percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
- NATIONSTD's 3-year revenue growth of 6.0% ranks in the 36th percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for NATIONSTD, as of 13 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.
Is NATIONSTD overvalued? NATIONSTD P/E vs peers
NATIONSTD trades at 27.6× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
NATIONSTD share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of NATIONSTD history (22%/yr drift, 55%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATIONSTD 2027 | ₹77 | ₹156 | ₹317 | +4% |
| NATIONSTD 2028 | ₹60 | ₹163 | ₹439 | +9% |
| NATIONSTD 2029 | ₹50 | ₹170 | ₹572 | +13% |
| NATIONSTD 2030 | ₹44 | ₹177 | ₹704 | +18% |
| NATIONSTD 2031 | ₹39 | ₹184 | ₹876 | +23% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability NATIONSTD goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for NATIONSTD
- Low price-to-book of 1.11×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹572.
The bear case & risks
- NATIONSTD's P/E of 27.6x is lower than 44% of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
- NATIONSTD's return on equity of 3.5% ranks in the 23rd percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
- High historical volatility (55%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹50.
NATIONSTD volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years NATIONSTD compounded at 22%/year with annualized volatility of 55%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹77-₹317, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
NATIONSTD price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
NATIONSTD price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds NATIONSTD hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the NATIONSTD price target & forecast page.
NATIONSTD Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. NATIONSTD scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
About National Standard (India) Ltd: sector, index & market-cap context
National Standard (India) Ltd (NATIONSTD) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹310 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the NATIONSTD Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of National Standard (India) Ltd's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
NATIONSTD analysis, FAQs
Is National Standard (India) Ltd (NATIONSTD) a good buy?
On the numbers, National Standard (India) Ltd (NATIONSTD) screens weak, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 34/100, weighing premium at 27.6× earnings, ROE of 3.5%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is NATIONSTD overvalued or undervalued?
NATIONSTD trades at 27.6× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the NATIONSTD share price target for 2031?
NATIONSTD's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹184, with an 80% range of ₹39-₹876 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability NATIONSTD doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of NATIONSTD reaching ₹300 (2×) within 5 years is 34%.
What is the bull case for NATIONSTD?
Low price-to-book of 1.11×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
What are the risks in NATIONSTD?
NATIONSTD's P/E of 27.6x is lower than 44% of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026. NATIONSTD's return on equity of 3.5% ranks in the 23rd percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (55%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
More on NATIONSTD
For information and education only. Downstox is a data and analytics platform, not a SEBI-registered Research Analyst or Investment Adviser. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Any scores, ranks, targets or scenarios are model estimates shown with their method, not forecasts or assured outcomes. Markets carry risk; do your own research and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.