NAVA
NAVA LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
NAVA LIMITED (NAVA) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is NAVA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
NAVA LIMITED (NAVA) trades at ₹582,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100.
On the numbers, NAVA LIMITED (NAVA) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing fairly valued at 21.6× earnings, ROE of 9.3%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
NAVA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How NAVA ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- NAVA's market cap of 16,481 Cr ranks in the 82nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NAVA's book value of ₹309 ranks in the 81st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NAVA's promoter holding of 50.0% ranks in the 30th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NAVA's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of -14.0% ranks in the 16th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NAVA's 3-year revenue growth of 7.0% ranks in the 41st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NAVA's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.25x is lower than 57% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is NAVA overvalued? NAVA P/E vs peers
NAVA trades at 21.6× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
NAVA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of NAVA history (23%/yr drift, 44%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAVA 2027 | ₹340 | ₹604 | ₹1,072 | +4% |
| NAVA 2028 | ₹281 | ₹627 | ₹1,397 | +8% |
| NAVA 2029 | ₹244 | ₹651 | ₹1,735 | +12% |
| NAVA 2030 | ₹219 | ₹676 | ₹2,085 | +16% |
| NAVA 2031 | ₹194 | ₹702 | ₹2,531 | +21% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability NAVA goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for NAVA
- NAVA's P/E of 21.6x is lower than 59% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,735.
The bear case & risks
- NAVA's return on equity of 9.3% ranks in the 45th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹244.
NAVA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years NAVA compounded at 23%/year with annualized volatility of 44%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹340-₹1,072, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
NAVA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
NAVA price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds NAVA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the NAVA price target & forecast page.
NAVA Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. NAVA scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
NAVA MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy NAVA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 34.45% | 2.9× |
| Zerodha | 34.42% | 2.9× |
| Groww | 34.53% | 2.9× |
| Dhan | 34.42% | 2.9× |
| Kotak NeoCHEAPEST | 34.36% | 2.9× |
| Paytm Money | 34.57% | 2.9× |
| Pocketful | 34.76% | 2.9× |
| Fyers | 34.48% | 2.9× |
| Anand Rathi | 34.42% | 2.9× |
| Bajaj Broking | 40.00% | 2.5× |
| Share India | 34.38% | 2.9× |
Compare every broker on the NAVA MTF page.
About NAVA LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
NAVA LIMITED (NAVA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹16,481 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the NAVA Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of NAVA LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
NAVA analysis, FAQs
Is NAVA LIMITED (NAVA) a good buy?
On the numbers, NAVA LIMITED (NAVA) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing fairly valued at 21.6× earnings, ROE of 9.3%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is NAVA overvalued or undervalued?
NAVA trades at 21.6× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the NAVA share price target for 2031?
NAVA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹702, with an 80% range of ₹194-₹2,531 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability NAVA doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of NAVA reaching ₹1,164 (2×) within 5 years is 30%.
What is the bull case for NAVA?
NAVA's P/E of 21.6x is lower than 59% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in NAVA?
NAVA's return on equity of 9.3% ranks in the 45th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.