Case study

NAVINFLUOR

Navin Fluorine International Limited

Mixed signals1y model +9.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

52Score

Navin Fluorine International Limited (NAVINFLUOR) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is NAVINFLUOR a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Navin Fluorine International Limited (NAVINFLUOR) trades at ₹8,196,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100.

On the numbers, Navin Fluorine International Limited (NAVINFLUOR) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing expensive at 52.9× earnings, ROE of 19.6%, a 60% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

NAVINFLUOR fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹42,048 Cr
Current price
₹8,196
P/E ratio
52.9×
P/B ratio
10.58×
Book value
₹775
Dividend yield
0.18%
ROCE
21.0%
ROE
19.6%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How NAVINFLUOR ranks against the 2,374 companies in our screener

Is NAVINFLUOR overvalued? NAVINFLUOR P/E vs peers

NAVINFLUOR trades at 52.9× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

NAVINFLUOR share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of NAVINFLUOR history (30%/yr drift, 33%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
NAVINFLUOR 2027₹5,899₹9,093₹14,017+9%
NAVINFLUOR 2028₹5,366₹9,907₹18,292+19%
NAVINFLUOR 2029₹5,160₹10,795₹22,581+29%
NAVINFLUOR 2030₹4,973₹11,761₹27,815+41%
NAVINFLUOR 2031₹4,857₹12,815₹33,808+54%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability NAVINFLUOR goes up, or doubles?

60%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
71%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
37%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹16,691 within 5 years

The bull case for NAVINFLUOR

  • NAVINFLUOR's return on equity of 19.6% ranks in the 83rd percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
  • NAVINFLUOR's return on capital employed of 21.0% ranks in the 82nd percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹22,581.

The bear case & risks

  • NAVINFLUOR's P/E of 52.9x is lower than 25% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
  • A steep 10.6× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹5,160.

NAVINFLUOR volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years NAVINFLUOR compounded at 30%/year with annualized volatility of 33%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹5,899-₹14,017, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

NAVINFLUOR price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
9.0%
80% range₹5,899-₹14,017
P(price ↑)60%
P(price 2×)4%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
29.3%
80% range₹5,160-₹22,581
P(price ↑)67%
P(price 2×)23%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
53.6%
80% range₹4,857-₹33,808
P(price ↑)71%
P(price 2×)37%

NAVINFLUOR price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
NAVINFLUOR simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds NAVINFLUOR hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the NAVINFLUOR price target & forecast page.

NAVINFLUOR Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. NAVINFLUOR scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

NAVINFLUOR MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy NAVINFLUOR with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox31.71%3.2×
Zerodha31.83%3.1×
Groww31.83%3.1×
Dhan31.83%3.1×
Kotak Neo31.85%3.1×
Paytm Money31.83%3.1×
Pocketful30.51%3.3×
Fyers31.25%3.2×
Anand Rathi31.83%3.1×
Bajaj Broking32.00%3.1×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST30.48%3.3×

Compare every broker on the NAVINFLUOR MTF page.

About Navin Fluorine International Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Navin Fluorine International Limited (NAVINFLUOR) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹42,048 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the NAVINFLUOR Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Navin Fluorine International Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

NAVINFLUOR analysis, FAQs

Is Navin Fluorine International Limited (NAVINFLUOR) a good buy?

On the numbers, Navin Fluorine International Limited (NAVINFLUOR) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing expensive at 52.9× earnings, ROE of 19.6%, a 60% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is NAVINFLUOR overvalued or undervalued?

NAVINFLUOR trades at 52.9× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the NAVINFLUOR share price target for 2031?

NAVINFLUOR's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹12,815, with an 80% range of ₹4,857-₹33,808 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability NAVINFLUOR doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of NAVINFLUOR reaching ₹16,691 (2×) within 5 years is 37%.

What is the bull case for NAVINFLUOR?

NAVINFLUOR's return on equity of 19.6% ranks in the 83rd percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026. NAVINFLUOR's return on capital employed of 21.0% ranks in the 82nd percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in NAVINFLUOR?

NAVINFLUOR's P/E of 52.9x is lower than 25% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026. A steep 10.6× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.

More on NAVINFLUOR