NAVINFLUOR
Navin Fluorine
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Navin Fluorine (NAVINFLUOR) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is NAVINFLUOR a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Navin Fluorine (NAVINFLUOR) trades at ₹7,572,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 60/100.
On the numbers, Navin Fluorine (NAVINFLUOR) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 60/100, weighing expensive at 58.0× earnings, ROE of 20.3%, a 83% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
NAVINFLUOR fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is NAVINFLUOR overvalued? NAVINFLUOR P/E vs its sector
NAVINFLUOR's P/E of 58.0× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.20% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
NAVINFLUOR share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of NAVINFLUOR history (37%/yr drift, 32%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAVINFLUOR 2027 | ₹6,775 | ₹10,204 | ₹15,427 | +36% |
| NAVINFLUOR 2028 | ₹7,775 | ₹14,016 | ₹25,132 | +87% |
| NAVINFLUOR 2029 | ₹9,380 | ₹19,092 | ₹39,560 | +155% |
| NAVINFLUOR 2030 | ₹11,659 | ₹26,289 | ₹59,391 | +251% |
| NAVINFLUOR 2031 | ₹14,614 | ₹36,165 | ₹89,961 | +383% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability NAVINFLUOR goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for NAVINFLUOR
- High return on equity (20.3%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- Strong ROCE (21.4%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 83% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹10,204 (+36%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹39,560.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 58.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- A steep 9.8× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹9,380.
NAVINFLUOR volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years NAVINFLUOR compounded at 37%/year with annualized volatility of 32%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹6,775–₹15,427, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
NAVINFLUOR price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
NAVINFLUOR price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds NAVINFLUOR hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the NAVINFLUOR price target & forecast page.
NAVINFLUOR Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. NAVINFLUOR scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
NAVINFLUOR MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy NAVINFLUOR with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 30.6% | 3.3× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 30.6% | 3.3× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 30.6% | 3.3× |
Compare every broker on the NAVINFLUOR MTF page.
NAVINFLUOR vs peers,sector comparison
About Navin Fluorine: sector, index & market-cap context
Navin Fluorine (NAVINFLUOR) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹38,777 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.
How the NAVINFLUOR Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Navin Fluorine's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
NAVINFLUOR analysis, FAQs
Is Navin Fluorine (NAVINFLUOR) a good buy?
On the numbers, Navin Fluorine (NAVINFLUOR) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 60/100, weighing expensive at 58.0× earnings, ROE of 20.3%, a 83% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is NAVINFLUOR overvalued or undervalued?
NAVINFLUOR trades at 58.0× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the NAVINFLUOR share price target for 2031?
NAVINFLUOR's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹36,165, with an 80% range of ₹14,614–₹89,961 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability NAVINFLUOR doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of NAVINFLUOR reaching ₹14,987 (2×) within 5 years is 89%.
What is the bull case for NAVINFLUOR?
High return on equity (20.3%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (21.4%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 83% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹10,204 (+36%).
What are the risks in NAVINFLUOR?
A rich 58.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 9.8× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.