Case study

NAVNETEDUL

Navneet Education

Mixed signals1y model -10.1%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Navneet Education (NAVNETEDUL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is NAVNETEDUL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Navneet Education (NAVNETEDUL) trades at ₹140,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100.

On the numbers, Navneet Education (NAVNETEDUL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing fairly valued at 19.9× earnings, ROE of 8.0%, a 38% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

NAVNETEDUL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹3,099 Cr
Current price
₹140
P/E ratio
19.9×
P/B ratio
1.52×
Book value
₹92
Dividend yield
2.14%
ROCE
10.2%
ROE
8.0%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is NAVNETEDUL overvalued? NAVNETEDUL P/E vs its sector

NAVNETEDUL's P/E of 19.9× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 2.14% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.67%.

NAVNETEDUL P/E
19.9×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
NAVNETEDUL div yield
2.14%
Peer median yield
1.67%

NAVNETEDUL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of NAVNETEDUL history (-5%/yr drift, 33%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
NAVNETEDUL 2027₹82₹125₹192-10%
NAVNETEDUL 2028₹61₹112₹202-20%
NAVNETEDUL 2029₹49₹102₹209-27%
NAVNETEDUL 2030₹39₹91₹212-35%
NAVNETEDUL 2031₹31₹83₹213-41%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability NAVNETEDUL goes up, or doubles?

38%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
24%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
5%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹279 within 5 years

The bull case for NAVNETEDUL

  • A 19.9× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
  • Pays a 2.1% dividend yield, so you're partly paid to wait.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹209.

The bear case & risks

  • Return on equity is a soft 8.0%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 38% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹49.

NAVNETEDUL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years NAVNETEDUL compounded at -5%/year with annualized volatility of 33%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹82₹192, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

NAVNETEDUL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
10.1%
80% range₹82–₹192
P(price ↑)38%
P(price 2×)1%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
26.9%
80% range₹49–₹209
P(price ↑)29%
P(price 2×)4%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
40.7%
80% range₹31–₹213
P(price ↑)24%
P(price 2×)5%

NAVNETEDUL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
NAVNETEDUL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds NAVNETEDUL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the NAVNETEDUL price target & forecast page.

NAVNETEDUL Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. NAVNETEDUL scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

NAVNETEDUL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy NAVNETEDUL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.0%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST32.1%3.1×
Dhan35.0%2.9×

Compare every broker on the NAVNETEDUL MTF page.

NAVNETEDUL vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
NAVNETEDUL (this stock)19.9×2.14%₹3,099 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About Navneet Education: sector, index & market-cap context

Navneet Education (NAVNETEDUL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹3,099 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the NAVNETEDUL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Navneet Education's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

NAVNETEDUL analysis, FAQs

Is Navneet Education (NAVNETEDUL) a good buy?

On the numbers, Navneet Education (NAVNETEDUL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing fairly valued at 19.9× earnings, ROE of 8.0%, a 38% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is NAVNETEDUL overvalued or undervalued?

NAVNETEDUL trades at 19.9× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the NAVNETEDUL share price target for 2031?

NAVNETEDUL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹83, with an 80% range of ₹31₹213 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability NAVNETEDUL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of NAVNETEDUL reaching ₹279 (2×) within 5 years is 5%.

What is the bull case for NAVNETEDUL?

A 19.9× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. Pays a 2.1% dividend yield, so you're partly paid to wait.

What are the risks in NAVNETEDUL?

Return on equity is a soft 8.0%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 38% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on NAVNETEDUL