Case study

NAZARA

NAZARA TECHNOLOGIES LTD

Worth a closer look1y model +10.7%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

NAZARA TECHNOLOGIES LTD (NAZARA) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is NAZARA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100.

On the numbers, NAZARA TECHNOLOGIES LTD (NAZARA) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100, weighing a 60% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

NAZARA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of NAZARA history (17%/yr drift, 38%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
NAZARA 2027₹203₹329₹533+11%
NAZARA 2028₹186₹365₹726+23%
NAZARA 2029₹175₹401₹940+35%
NAZARA 2030₹171₹448₹1,160+51%
NAZARA 2031₹166₹497₹1,463+67%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability NAZARA goes up, or doubles?

60%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
73%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
42%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹595 within 5 years

The bull case for NAZARA

  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 60% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹329 (+11%).
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹940.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹175.

NAZARA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years NAZARA compounded at 17%/year with annualized volatility of 38%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹203₹533, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

NAZARA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
10.7%
80% range₹203–₹533
P(price ↑)60%
P(price 2×)6%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
35.0%
80% range₹175–₹940
P(price ↑)68%
P(price 2×)28%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
67.1%
80% range₹166–₹1,463
P(price ↑)73%
P(price 2×)42%

NAZARA price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
NAZARA simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds NAZARA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the NAZARA price target & forecast page.

NAZARA MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy NAZARA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.0%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST33.8%3.0×
Dhan49.0%2.0×

Compare every broker on the NAZARA MTF page.

Which ace investors hold NAZARA?

Held by 1 tracked superstar investor (from public NSE/BSE disclosures):

NAZARA vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
NAZARA (this stock)
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About NAZARA TECHNOLOGIES LTD: sector, index & market-cap context

NAZARA TECHNOLOGIES LTD (NAZARA) is an NSE-listed company.

How the NAZARA Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of NAZARA TECHNOLOGIES LTD's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

NAZARA analysis, FAQs

Is NAZARA TECHNOLOGIES LTD (NAZARA) a good buy?

On the numbers, NAZARA TECHNOLOGIES LTD (NAZARA) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100, weighing a 60% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is NAZARA overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation ratios for NAZARA are tracked live on Downstox.

What is the NAZARA share price target for 2031?

NAZARA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹497, with an 80% range of ₹166₹1,463 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability NAZARA doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of NAZARA reaching ₹595 (2×) within 5 years is 42%.

What is the bull case for NAZARA?

A 10,000-path probability model puts a 60% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹329 (+11%).

What are the risks in NAZARA?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on NAZARA