NBCC
NBCC (INDIA) LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
NBCC (INDIA) LIMITED (NBCC) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is NBCC a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
NBCC (INDIA) LIMITED (NBCC) trades at ₹95,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100.
On the numbers, NBCC (INDIA) LIMITED (NBCC) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100, weighing premium at 38.9× earnings, ROE of 24.1%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
NBCC fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How NBCC ranks against the 2,374 companies in our screener
- NBCC's market cap of 25,644 Cr ranks in the 87th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- NBCC's book value of ₹11 ranks in the 13th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- NBCC's promoter holding of 61.8% ranks in the 55th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- NBCC's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 20.0% ranks in the 57th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- NBCC's 3-year revenue growth of 13.0% ranks in the 58th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for NBCC, as of 10 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.
Is NBCC overvalued? NBCC P/E vs peers
NBCC trades at 38.9× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
NBCC share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of NBCC history (6%/yr drift, 40%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBCC 2027 | ₹58 | ₹97 | ₹161 | +2% |
| NBCC 2028 | ₹48 | ₹99 | ₹203 | +4% |
| NBCC 2029 | ₹41 | ₹101 | ₹246 | +6% |
| NBCC 2030 | ₹37 | ₹103 | ₹286 | +8% |
| NBCC 2031 | ₹33 | ₹105 | ₹328 | +10% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability NBCC goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for NBCC
- NBCC's return on equity of 24.1% ranks in the 89th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- NBCC's return on capital employed of 31.0% ranks in the 93rd percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹246.
The bear case & risks
- NBCC's P/E of 38.8x is lower than 35% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- A steep 8.5× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹41.
NBCC volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years NBCC compounded at 6%/year with annualized volatility of 40%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹58-₹161, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
NBCC price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
NBCC price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds NBCC hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the NBCC price target & forecast page.
NBCC Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. NBCC scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
NBCC MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy NBCC with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 29.95% | 3.3× |
| Zerodha | 28.50% | 3.5× |
| Groww | 28.60% | 3.5× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 26.41% | 3.8× |
| Kotak Neo | 30.03% | 3.3× |
| Paytm Money | 26.79% | 3.7× |
| Pocketful | 33.98% | 2.9× |
| Fyers | 34.48% | 2.9× |
| Anand Rathi | 33.41% | 3.0× |
| Bajaj Broking | 27.00% | 3.7× |
| Share India | 33.56% | 3.0× |
Compare every broker on the NBCC MTF page.
About NBCC (INDIA) LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
NBCC (INDIA) LIMITED (NBCC) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹25,739 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the NBCC Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of NBCC (INDIA) LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
NBCC analysis, FAQs
Is NBCC (INDIA) LIMITED (NBCC) a good buy?
On the numbers, NBCC (INDIA) LIMITED (NBCC) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100, weighing premium at 38.9× earnings, ROE of 24.1%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is NBCC overvalued or undervalued?
NBCC trades at 38.9× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the NBCC share price target for 2031?
NBCC's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹105, with an 80% range of ₹33-₹328 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability NBCC doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of NBCC reaching ₹190 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.
What is the bull case for NBCC?
NBCC's return on equity of 24.1% ranks in the 89th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026. NBCC's return on capital employed of 31.0% ranks in the 93rd percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in NBCC?
NBCC's P/E of 38.8x is lower than 35% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026. A steep 8.5× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.