NCLIND
Ncl Industries Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Ncl Industries Limited (NCLIND) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is NCLIND a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Ncl Industries Limited (NCLIND) trades at ₹180,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 65/100.
On the numbers, Ncl Industries Limited (NCLIND) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 65/100, weighing inexpensive at 6.5× earnings, ROE of 14.6%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
NCLIND fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How NCLIND ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- NCLIND's market cap of 813 Cr ranks in the 35th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NCLIND's book value of ₹208 ranks in the 72nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NCLIND's promoter holding of 41.7% ranks in the 18th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NCLIND's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 44.0% ranks in the 80th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NCLIND's 3-year revenue growth of -11.0% ranks in the 9th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NCLIND's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.25x is lower than 57% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is NCLIND overvalued? NCLIND P/E vs peers
NCLIND trades at 6.5× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
NCLIND share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of NCLIND history (4%/yr drift, 31%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCLIND 2027 | ₹126 | ₹187 | ₹279 | +4% |
| NCLIND 2028 | ₹112 | ₹195 | ₹341 | +9% |
| NCLIND 2029 | ₹104 | ₹204 | ₹398 | +13% |
| NCLIND 2030 | ₹97 | ₹212 | ₹462 | +18% |
| NCLIND 2031 | ₹94 | ₹221 | ₹522 | +23% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability NCLIND goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for NCLIND
- NCLIND's P/E of 6.5x is lower than 92% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Low price-to-book of 0.87×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- NCLIND's return on equity of 14.6% ranks in the 70th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹398.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹104.
NCLIND volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years NCLIND compounded at 4%/year with annualized volatility of 31%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹126-₹279, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
NCLIND price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
NCLIND price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds NCLIND hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the NCLIND price target & forecast page.
NCLIND Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. NCLIND scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
NCLIND MTF margin & leverage across 4 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy NCLIND with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 4 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Dhan | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Kotak Neo | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Pocketful | 29.91% | 3.3× |
| Share IndiaCHEAPEST | 29.59% | 3.4× |
Compare every broker on the NCLIND MTF page.
About Ncl Industries Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Ncl Industries Limited (NCLIND) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹813 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the NCLIND Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Ncl Industries Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
NCLIND analysis, FAQs
Is Ncl Industries Limited (NCLIND) a good buy?
On the numbers, Ncl Industries Limited (NCLIND) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 65/100, weighing inexpensive at 6.5× earnings, ROE of 14.6%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is NCLIND overvalued or undervalued?
NCLIND trades at 6.5× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the NCLIND share price target for 2031?
NCLIND's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹221, with an 80% range of ₹94-₹522 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability NCLIND doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of NCLIND reaching ₹359 (2×) within 5 years is 24%.
What is the bull case for NCLIND?
NCLIND's P/E of 6.5x is lower than 92% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 0.87×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets. NCLIND's return on equity of 14.6% ranks in the 70th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in NCLIND?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.