NESCO
NESCO
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
NESCO (NESCO) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is NESCO a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
NESCO (NESCO) trades at ₹1,133,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100.
On the numbers, NESCO (NESCO) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing fairly valued at 19.4× earnings, ROE of 14.7%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
NESCO fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is NESCO overvalued? NESCO P/E vs its sector
NESCO's P/E of 19.4× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.62% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
NESCO share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of NESCO history (10%/yr drift, 33%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NESCO 2027 | ₹785 | ₹1,191 | ₹1,798 | +5% |
| NESCO 2028 | ₹681 | ₹1,230 | ₹2,257 | +8% |
| NESCO 2029 | ₹627 | ₹1,293 | ₹2,715 | +14% |
| NESCO 2030 | ₹585 | ₹1,362 | ₹3,180 | +20% |
| NESCO 2031 | ₹550 | ₹1,437 | ₹3,639 | +26% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability NESCO goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for NESCO
- A 19.4× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
- A healthy 14.7% return on equity.
- Strong ROCE (18.3%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,715.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹627.
NESCO volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years NESCO compounded at 10%/year with annualized volatility of 33%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹785–₹1,798, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
NESCO price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
NESCO price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds NESCO hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the NESCO price target & forecast page.
NESCO Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. NESCO scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
NESCO MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy NESCO with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 30.9% | 3.2× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 30.9% | 3.2× |
Compare every broker on the NESCO MTF page.
NESCO vs peers,sector comparison
About NESCO: sector, index & market-cap context
NESCO (NESCO) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹7,987 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the NESCO Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of NESCO's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
NESCO analysis, FAQs
Is NESCO (NESCO) a good buy?
On the numbers, NESCO (NESCO) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing fairly valued at 19.4× earnings, ROE of 14.7%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is NESCO overvalued or undervalued?
NESCO trades at 19.4× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the NESCO share price target for 2031?
NESCO's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,437, with an 80% range of ₹550–₹3,639 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability NESCO doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of NESCO reaching ₹2,276 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.
What is the bull case for NESCO?
A 19.4× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. A healthy 14.7% return on equity. Strong ROCE (18.3%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in NESCO?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.