NESCO
Nesco Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Nesco Limited (NESCO) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is NESCO a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Nesco Limited (NESCO) trades at ₹1,047,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100.
On the numbers, Nesco Limited (NESCO) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing fairly valued at 17.7× earnings, ROE of 14.8%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
NESCO fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How NESCO ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- NESCO's market cap of 7,378 Cr ranks in the 71st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NESCO's book value of ₹425 ranks in the 87th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NESCO's promoter holding of 68.5% ranks in the 70th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NESCO's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 11.0% ranks in the 43rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NESCO's 3-year revenue growth of 20.0% ranks in the 73rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NESCO's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.09x is lower than 79% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is NESCO overvalued? NESCO P/E vs peers
NESCO trades at 17.7× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
NESCO share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of NESCO history (12%/yr drift, 33%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NESCO 2027 | ₹729 | ₹1,114 | ₹1,703 | +6% |
| NESCO 2028 | ₹653 | ₹1,185 | ₹2,150 | +13% |
| NESCO 2029 | ₹611 | ₹1,260 | ₹2,600 | +20% |
| NESCO 2030 | ₹569 | ₹1,340 | ₹3,154 | +28% |
| NESCO 2031 | ₹552 | ₹1,425 | ₹3,683 | +36% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability NESCO goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for NESCO
- NESCO's P/E of 17.7x is lower than 67% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NESCO's return on equity of 14.8% ranks in the 71st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NESCO's return on capital employed of 18.5% ranks in the 77th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,600.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹611.
NESCO volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years NESCO compounded at 12%/year with annualized volatility of 33%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹729-₹1,703, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
NESCO price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
NESCO price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds NESCO hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the NESCO price target & forecast page.
NESCO Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. NESCO scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
NESCO MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy NESCO with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.00% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 30.67% | 3.3× |
| Groww | 30.79% | 3.2× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 30.67% | 3.3× |
| Kotak Neo | 34.97% | 2.9× |
| Paytm Money | 35.00% | 2.9× |
| Pocketful | 30.73% | 3.3× |
| Fyers | 31.25% | 3.2× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 30.67% | 3.3× |
| Bajaj Broking | 33.00% | 3.0× |
| Share India | 30.76% | 3.3× |
Compare every broker on the NESCO MTF page.
About Nesco Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Nesco Limited (NESCO) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹7,378 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the NESCO Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Nesco Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
NESCO analysis, FAQs
Is Nesco Limited (NESCO) a good buy?
On the numbers, Nesco Limited (NESCO) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing fairly valued at 17.7× earnings, ROE of 14.8%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is NESCO overvalued or undervalued?
NESCO trades at 17.7× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the NESCO share price target for 2031?
NESCO's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,425, with an 80% range of ₹552-₹3,683 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability NESCO doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of NESCO reaching ₹2,094 (2×) within 5 years is 31%.
What is the bull case for NESCO?
NESCO's P/E of 17.7x is lower than 67% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. NESCO's return on equity of 14.8% ranks in the 71st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. NESCO's return on capital employed of 18.5% ranks in the 77th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in NESCO?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.