Case study

NEWGEN

Newgen Software Technologies Limited

Worth a closer look1y model -1.7%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

63Score

Newgen Software Technologies Limited (NEWGEN) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is NEWGEN a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Newgen Software Technologies Limited (NEWGEN) trades at ₹551,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 63/100.

On the numbers, Newgen Software Technologies Limited (NEWGEN) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 63/100, weighing fairly valued at 22.9× earnings, ROE of 19.6%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

NEWGEN fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹7,852 Cr
Current price
₹551
P/E ratio
22.9×
P/B ratio
4.41×
Book value
₹125
Dividend yield
1.09%
ROCE
25.0%
ROE
19.6%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How NEWGEN ranks against the 2,371 companies in our screener

Is NEWGEN overvalued? NEWGEN P/E vs peers

NEWGEN trades at 22.9× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

NEWGEN share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 8.4y of NEWGEN history (18%/yr drift, 56%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
NEWGEN 2027₹268₹542₹1,096-2%
NEWGEN 2028₹189₹533₹1,498-3%
NEWGEN 2029₹150₹524₹1,828-5%
NEWGEN 2030₹123₹515₹2,162-6%
NEWGEN 2031₹98₹507₹2,611-8%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability NEWGEN goes up, or doubles?

49%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
47%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
27%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,102 within 5 years

The bull case for NEWGEN

  • NEWGEN's P/E of 22.9x is lower than 57% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
  • NEWGEN's return on equity of 19.6% ranks in the 83rd percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
  • NEWGEN's return on capital employed of 25.0% ranks in the 88th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,828.

The bear case & risks

  • High historical volatility (56%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹150.

NEWGEN volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 8.4 years NEWGEN compounded at 18%/year with annualized volatility of 56%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹268-₹1,096, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

NEWGEN price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 8.4 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
1.7%
80% range₹268-₹1,096
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)10%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
4.9%
80% range₹150-₹1,828
P(price ↑)48%
P(price 2×)23%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
8.1%
80% range₹98-₹2,611
P(price ↑)47%
P(price 2×)27%

NEWGEN price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
NEWGEN simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds NEWGEN hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the NEWGEN price target & forecast page.

NEWGEN Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. NEWGEN scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

NEWGEN MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy NEWGEN with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox40.62%2.5×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST40.57%2.5×
Groww40.83%2.4×
DhanCHEAPEST40.57%2.5×
Kotak Neo40.65%2.5×
Paytm Money46.65%2.1×
Pocketful41.03%2.4×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST40.57%2.5×
Bajaj Broking47.00%2.1×
Share India40.77%2.5×

Compare every broker on the NEWGEN MTF page.

Which ace investors hold NEWGEN?

Held by 1 tracked superstar investor (from public NSE/BSE disclosures):

About Newgen Software Technologies Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Newgen Software Technologies Limited (NEWGEN) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹7,852 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the NEWGEN Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Newgen Software Technologies Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

NEWGEN analysis, FAQs

Is Newgen Software Technologies Limited (NEWGEN) a good buy?

On the numbers, Newgen Software Technologies Limited (NEWGEN) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 63/100, weighing fairly valued at 22.9× earnings, ROE of 19.6%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is NEWGEN overvalued or undervalued?

NEWGEN trades at 22.9× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the NEWGEN share price target for 2031?

NEWGEN's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹507, with an 80% range of ₹98-₹2,611 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability NEWGEN doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of NEWGEN reaching ₹1,102 (2×) within 5 years is 27%.

What is the bull case for NEWGEN?

NEWGEN's P/E of 22.9x is lower than 57% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026. NEWGEN's return on equity of 19.6% ranks in the 83rd percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026. NEWGEN's return on capital employed of 25.0% ranks in the 88th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in NEWGEN?

High historical volatility (56%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on NEWGEN