NEXT50IETF
ICICI Prudential Nifty Next 50 ETF
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
ICICI Prudential Nifty Next 50 ETF (NEXT50IETF) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is NEXT50IETF a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100.
On the numbers, ICICI Prudential Nifty Next 50 ETF (NEXT50IETF) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing a 73% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
How NEXT50IETF ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
NEXT50IETF is not currently one of the 2,373 companies in our live screener universe, so no percentile comparison is available for it here.
NEXT50IETF share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.6y of NEXT50IETF history (16%/yr drift, 17%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEXT50IETF 2027 | ₹70 | ₹87 | ₹109 | +11% |
| NEXT50IETF 2028 | ₹71 | ₹97 | ₹132 | +23% |
| NEXT50IETF 2029 | ₹74 | ₹108 | ₹158 | +37% |
| NEXT50IETF 2030 | ₹78 | ₹120 | ₹184 | +52% |
| NEXT50IETF 2031 | ₹82 | ₹133 | ₹215 | +69% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability NEXT50IETF goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for NEXT50IETF
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 73% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹87 (+11%).
- Relatively low volatility (17%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹158.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹74.
NEXT50IETF volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.6 years NEXT50IETF compounded at 16%/year with annualized volatility of 17%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹70-₹109, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
NEXT50IETF price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
NEXT50IETF price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds NEXT50IETF hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the NEXT50IETF price target & forecast page.
NEXT50IETF MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy NEXT50IETF with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 20.00% | 5.0× |
| Zerodha | 20.00% | 5.0× |
| Groww | 20.00% | 5.0× |
| Dhan | 20.00% | 5.0× |
| Kotak Neo | 20.00% | 5.0× |
| Paytm Money | 20.00% | 5.0× |
| Fyers | 20.00% | 5.0× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 16.65% | 6.0× |
| Share India | 20.00% | 5.0× |
Compare every broker on the NEXT50IETF MTF page.
About ICICI Prudential Nifty Next 50 ETF: sector, index & market-cap context
ICICI Prudential Nifty Next 50 ETF (NEXT50IETF) is an NSE-listed company. See more stocks on our screener.
How the NEXT50IETF Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of ICICI Prudential Nifty Next 50 ETF's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
NEXT50IETF analysis, FAQs
Is ICICI Prudential Nifty Next 50 ETF (NEXT50IETF) a good buy?
On the numbers, ICICI Prudential Nifty Next 50 ETF (NEXT50IETF) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing a 73% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is NEXT50IETF overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for NEXT50IETF are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the NEXT50IETF share price target for 2031?
NEXT50IETF's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹133, with an 80% range of ₹82-₹215 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability NEXT50IETF doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of NEXT50IETF reaching ₹157 (2×) within 5 years is 33%.
What is the bull case for NEXT50IETF?
A 10,000-path probability model puts a 73% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹87 (+11%). Relatively low volatility (17%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
What are the risks in NEXT50IETF?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.