NGLFINE
Ngl Fine-Chem Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Ngl Fine-Chem Limited (NGLFINE) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is NGLFINE a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Ngl Fine-Chem Limited (NGLFINE) trades at ₹3,404,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 46/100.
On the numbers, Ngl Fine-Chem Limited (NGLFINE) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 46/100, weighing premium at 39.5× earnings, ROE of 17.4%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
NGLFINE fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How NGLFINE ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- NGLFINE's market cap of 2,103 Cr ranks in the 51st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NGLFINE's book value of ₹533 ranks in the 91st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NGLFINE's promoter holding of 72.5% ranks in the 81st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NGLFINE's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 37.0% ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NGLFINE's 3-year revenue growth of 22.0% ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NGLFINE's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.37x is lower than 45% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is NGLFINE overvalued? NGLFINE P/E vs peers
NGLFINE trades at 39.5× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
NGLFINE share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of NGLFINE history (25%/yr drift, 55%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NGLFINE 2027 | ₹1,654 | ₹3,351 | ₹6,788 | -2% |
| NGLFINE 2028 | ₹1,219 | ₹3,275 | ₹8,797 | -5% |
| NGLFINE 2029 | ₹929 | ₹3,200 | ₹11,022 | -7% |
| NGLFINE 2030 | ₹763 | ₹3,127 | ₹12,813 | -9% |
| NGLFINE 2031 | ₹641 | ₹3,055 | ₹14,571 | -11% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability NGLFINE goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for NGLFINE
- NGLFINE's return on equity of 17.4% ranks in the 78th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NGLFINE's return on capital employed of 18.6% ranks in the 77th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹11,022.
The bear case & risks
- NGLFINE's P/E of 39.5x is lower than 34% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- High historical volatility (55%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹929.
NGLFINE volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years NGLFINE compounded at 25%/year with annualized volatility of 55%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,654-₹6,788, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
NGLFINE price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
NGLFINE price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds NGLFINE hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the NGLFINE price target & forecast page.
NGLFINE Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. NGLFINE scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
NGLFINE MTF margin & leverage across 7 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy NGLFINE with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 7 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Zerodha | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Groww | 40.71% | 2.5× |
| Kotak Neo | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Paytm Money | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Pocketful | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Fyers | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Share IndiaCHEAPEST | 40.65% | 2.5× |
Compare every broker on the NGLFINE MTF page.
Which ace investors hold NGLFINE?
Held by 1 tracked superstar investor (from public NSE/BSE disclosures):
About Ngl Fine-Chem Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Ngl Fine-Chem Limited (NGLFINE) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,103 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the NGLFINE Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Ngl Fine-Chem Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
NGLFINE analysis, FAQs
Is Ngl Fine-Chem Limited (NGLFINE) a good buy?
On the numbers, Ngl Fine-Chem Limited (NGLFINE) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 46/100, weighing premium at 39.5× earnings, ROE of 17.4%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is NGLFINE overvalued or undervalued?
NGLFINE trades at 39.5× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the NGLFINE share price target for 2031?
NGLFINE's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹3,055, with an 80% range of ₹641-₹14,571 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability NGLFINE doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of NGLFINE reaching ₹6,859 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.
What is the bull case for NGLFINE?
NGLFINE's return on equity of 17.4% ranks in the 78th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. NGLFINE's return on capital employed of 18.6% ranks in the 77th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in NGLFINE?
NGLFINE's P/E of 39.5x is lower than 34% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (55%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.