NH
NARAYANA HRUDAYALAYA LTD.
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
NARAYANA HRUDAYALAYA LTD. (NH) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is NH a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
NARAYANA HRUDAYALAYA LTD. (NH) trades at ₹1,885,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 56/100.
On the numbers, NARAYANA HRUDAYALAYA LTD. (NH) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 56/100, weighing expensive at 44.7× earnings, ROE of 20.5%, a 63% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
NH fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How NH ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- NH's market cap of 38,524 Cr ranks in the 90th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NH's book value of ₹222 ranks in the 74th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NH's promoter holding of 63.3% ranks in the 59th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NH's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 12.0% ranks in the 45th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NH's 3-year revenue growth of 20.0% ranks in the 73rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NH's debt-to-equity ratio of 1.29x is lower than 10% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is NH overvalued? NH P/E vs peers
NH trades at 44.7× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
NH share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of NH history (18%/yr drift, 31%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NH 2027 | ₹1,413 | ₹2,095 | ₹3,106 | +11% |
| NH 2028 | ₹1,330 | ₹2,329 | ₹4,079 | +24% |
| NH 2029 | ₹1,295 | ₹2,588 | ₹5,172 | +37% |
| NH 2030 | ₹1,293 | ₹2,877 | ₹6,402 | +53% |
| NH 2031 | ₹1,293 | ₹3,197 | ₹7,905 | +70% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability NH goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for NH
- NH's return on equity of 20.5% ranks in the 85th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 63% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹2,095 (+11%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹5,172.
The bear case & risks
- NH's P/E of 44.7x is lower than 30% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- A steep 8.5× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,295.
NH volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years NH compounded at 18%/year with annualized volatility of 31%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,413-₹3,106, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
NH price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
NH price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds NH hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the NH price target & forecast page.
NH Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. NH scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
NH MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy NH with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 29.78% | 3.4× |
| Zerodha | 29.74% | 3.4× |
| Groww | 29.86% | 3.3× |
| Dhan | 29.74% | 3.4× |
| Kotak Neo | 29.76% | 3.4× |
| Paytm Money | 29.86% | 3.3× |
| PocketfulCHEAPEST | 29.70% | 3.4× |
| Fyers | 30.30% | 3.3× |
| Anand Rathi | 29.74% | 3.4× |
| Bajaj Broking | 31.00% | 3.2× |
| Share India | 29.86% | 3.3× |
Compare every broker on the NH MTF page.
About NARAYANA HRUDAYALAYA LTD.: sector, index & market-cap context
NARAYANA HRUDAYALAYA LTD. (NH) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹38,524 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the NH Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of NARAYANA HRUDAYALAYA LTD.'s public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
NH analysis, FAQs
Is NARAYANA HRUDAYALAYA LTD. (NH) a good buy?
On the numbers, NARAYANA HRUDAYALAYA LTD. (NH) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 56/100, weighing expensive at 44.7× earnings, ROE of 20.5%, a 63% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is NH overvalued or undervalued?
NH trades at 44.7× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the NH share price target for 2031?
NH's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹3,197, with an 80% range of ₹1,293-₹7,905 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability NH doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of NH reaching ₹3,770 (2×) within 5 years is 41%.
What is the bull case for NH?
NH's return on equity of 20.5% ranks in the 85th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 63% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹2,095 (+11%).
What are the risks in NH?
NH's P/E of 44.7x is lower than 30% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 8.5× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.