NH
Narayana Hrudayalaya
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Narayana Hrudayalaya (NH) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is NH a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Narayana Hrudayalaya (NH) trades at ₹1,905,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 56/100.
On the numbers, Narayana Hrudayalaya (NH) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 56/100, weighing expensive at 45.7× earnings, ROE of 20.9%, a 73% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
NH fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is NH overvalued? NH P/E vs its sector
NH's P/E of 45.7× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.24% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
NH share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of NH history (23%/yr drift, 31%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NH 2027 | ₹1,522 | ₹2,282 | ₹3,373 | +21% |
| NH 2028 | ₹1,545 | ₹2,739 | ₹4,778 | +46% |
| NH 2029 | ₹1,660 | ₹3,292 | ₹6,491 | +75% |
| NH 2030 | ₹1,810 | ₹3,990 | ₹8,650 | +112% |
| NH 2031 | ₹2,022 | ₹4,791 | ₹11,482 | +155% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability NH goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for NH
- High return on equity (20.9%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 73% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹2,282 (+21%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹6,491.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 45.7× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- A steep 8.6× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,660.
NH volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years NH compounded at 23%/year with annualized volatility of 31%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,522–₹3,373, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
NH price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
NH price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds NH hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the NH price target & forecast page.
NH Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. NH scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
NH MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy NH with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 29.9% | 3.3× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 29.9% | 3.3× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 29.9% | 3.3× |
Compare every broker on the NH MTF page.
NH vs peers,sector comparison
About Narayana Hrudayalaya: sector, index & market-cap context
Narayana Hrudayalaya (NH) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹38,950 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.
How the NH Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Narayana Hrudayalaya's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
NH analysis, FAQs
Is Narayana Hrudayalaya (NH) a good buy?
On the numbers, Narayana Hrudayalaya (NH) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 56/100, weighing expensive at 45.7× earnings, ROE of 20.9%, a 73% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is NH overvalued or undervalued?
NH trades at 45.7× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the NH share price target for 2031?
NH's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹4,791, with an 80% range of ₹2,022–₹11,482 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability NH doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of NH reaching ₹3,757 (2×) within 5 years is 64%.
What is the bull case for NH?
High return on equity (20.9%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 73% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹2,282 (+21%).
What are the risks in NH?
A rich 45.7× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 8.6× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.