NIBE
NIBE
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
NIBE (NIBE) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is NIBE a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
NIBE (NIBE) trades at ₹1,835,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100.
On the numbers, NIBE (NIBE) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 497.0× earnings, ROE of 1.9%, a 46% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
NIBE fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is NIBE overvalued? NIBE P/E vs its sector
NIBE's P/E of 497.0× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.07% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
NIBE share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 1.3y of NIBE history (10%/yr drift, 56%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIBE 2027 | ₹850 | ₹1,732 | ₹3,543 | -5% |
| NIBE 2028 | ₹601 | ₹1,644 | ₹4,510 | -9% |
| NIBE 2029 | ₹443 | ₹1,541 | ₹5,489 | -15% |
| NIBE 2030 | ₹341 | ₹1,442 | ₹6,280 | -21% |
| NIBE 2031 | ₹282 | ₹1,389 | ₹6,937 | -23% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability NIBE goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for NIBE
- NIBE is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹5,489.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 497.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- Return on equity is a soft 1.9%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- High historical volatility (56%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹443.
NIBE volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 1.3 years NIBE compounded at 10%/year with annualized volatility of 56%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹850–₹3,543, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
NIBE price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
NIBE price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds NIBE hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the NIBE price target & forecast page.
NIBE Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. NIBE scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
NIBE MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy NIBE with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 41.0% | 2.4× |
Compare every broker on the NIBE MTF page.
NIBE vs peers,sector comparison
About NIBE: sector, index & market-cap context
NIBE (NIBE) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,800 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the NIBE Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of NIBE's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
NIBE analysis, FAQs
Is NIBE (NIBE) a good buy?
On the numbers, NIBE (NIBE) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 497.0× earnings, ROE of 1.9%, a 46% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is NIBE overvalued or undervalued?
NIBE trades at 497.0× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the NIBE share price target for 2031?
NIBE's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,389, with an 80% range of ₹282–₹6,937 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability NIBE doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of NIBE reaching ₹3,631 (2×) within 5 years is 23%.
What is the bull case for NIBE?
NIBE is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in NIBE?
A rich 497.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 1.9%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. High historical volatility (56%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.