NIF100IETF
ICICI Prudential Nifty 100 ETF
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
ICICI Prudential Nifty 100 ETF (NIF100IETF) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is NIF100IETF a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100.
On the numbers, ICICI Prudential Nifty 100 ETF (NIF100IETF) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing a 64% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
NIF100IETF share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of NIF100IETF history (8%/yr drift, 19%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIF100IETF 2027 | ₹23 | ₹30 | ₹38 | +7% |
| NIF100IETF 2028 | ₹22 | ₹32 | ₹45 | +14% |
| NIF100IETF 2029 | ₹22 | ₹34 | ₹52 | +22% |
| NIF100IETF 2030 | ₹22 | ₹36 | ₹60 | +29% |
| NIF100IETF 2031 | ₹22 | ₹38 | ₹67 | +38% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability NIF100IETF goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for NIF100IETF
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 64% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹30 (+7%).
- Relatively low volatility (19%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹52.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹22.
NIF100IETF volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years NIF100IETF compounded at 8%/year with annualized volatility of 19%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹23–₹38, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
NIF100IETF price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
NIF100IETF price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds NIF100IETF hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the NIF100IETF price target & forecast page.
NIF100IETF MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy NIF100IETF with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 25.0% | 4.0× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 20.0% | 5.0× |
Compare every broker on the NIF100IETF MTF page.
NIF100IETF vs peers,sector comparison
About ICICI Prudential Nifty 100 ETF: sector, index & market-cap context
ICICI Prudential Nifty 100 ETF (NIF100IETF) is an NSE-listed company.
How the NIF100IETF Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of ICICI Prudential Nifty 100 ETF's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
NIF100IETF analysis, FAQs
Is ICICI Prudential Nifty 100 ETF (NIF100IETF) a good buy?
On the numbers, ICICI Prudential Nifty 100 ETF (NIF100IETF) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing a 64% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is NIF100IETF overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for NIF100IETF are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the NIF100IETF share price target for 2031?
NIF100IETF's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹38, with an 80% range of ₹22–₹67 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability NIF100IETF doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of NIF100IETF reaching ₹56 (2×) within 5 years is 20%.
What is the bull case for NIF100IETF?
A 10,000-path probability model puts a 64% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹30 (+7%). Relatively low volatility (19%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
What are the risks in NIF100IETF?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.