NIITLTD
NIITLTD
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
NIITLTD (NIITLTD) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is NIITLTD a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
NIITLTD (NIITLTD) trades at ₹104,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 22/100.
On the numbers, NIITLTD (NIITLTD) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 22/100, weighing expensive at 146.0× earnings, ROE of 0.9%, a 36% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
NIITLTD fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is NIITLTD overvalued? NIITLTD P/E vs its sector
NIITLTD's P/E of 146.0× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.97% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
NIITLTD share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of NIITLTD history (-5%/yr drift, 56%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIITLTD 2027 | ₹37 | ₹77 | ₹154 | -19% |
| NIITLTD 2028 | ₹23 | ₹63 | ₹170 | -34% |
| NIITLTD 2029 | ₹15 | ₹51 | ₹175 | -46% |
| NIITLTD 2030 | ₹10 | ₹41 | ₹168 | -56% |
| NIITLTD 2031 | ₹7 | ₹33 | ₹157 | -65% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability NIITLTD goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for NIITLTD
- Low price-to-book of 1.32×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹175.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 146.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- Return on equity is a soft 0.9%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 36% chance of finishing above today's price.
- High historical volatility (56%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹15.
NIITLTD volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years NIITLTD compounded at -5%/year with annualized volatility of 56%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹37–₹154, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
NIITLTD price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
NIITLTD price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds NIITLTD hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the NIITLTD price target & forecast page.
NIITLTD Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. NIITLTD scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
NIITLTD MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy NIITLTD with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 41.3% | 2.4× |
| Dhan | 64.0% | 1.6× |
Compare every broker on the NIITLTD MTF page.
NIITLTD vs peers,sector comparison
About NIITLTD: sector, index & market-cap context
NIITLTD (NIITLTD) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,415 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the NIITLTD Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of NIITLTD's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
NIITLTD analysis, FAQs
Is NIITLTD (NIITLTD) a good buy?
On the numbers, NIITLTD (NIITLTD) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 22/100, weighing expensive at 146.0× earnings, ROE of 0.9%, a 36% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is NIITLTD overvalued or undervalued?
NIITLTD trades at 146.0× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the NIITLTD share price target for 2031?
NIITLTD's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹33, with an 80% range of ₹7–₹157 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability NIITLTD doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of NIITLTD reaching ₹190 (2×) within 5 years is 8%.
What is the bull case for NIITLTD?
Low price-to-book of 1.32×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
What are the risks in NIITLTD?
A rich 146.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 0.9%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 36% chance of finishing above today's price.