NILE
NILE
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
NILE (NILE) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is NILE a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
NILE (NILE) trades at ₹1,548,on the numbers it screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 71/100.
On the numbers, NILE (NILE) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 71/100, weighing inexpensive at 9.6× earnings, ROE of 19.0%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
NILE fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How NILE ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- NILE's market cap of 464 Cr ranks in the 27th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NILE's book value of ₹1,053 ranks in the top 4% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NILE's promoter holding of 50.4% ranks in the 31st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NILE's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 35.0% ranks in the 74th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NILE's 3-year revenue growth of 9.0% ranks in the 47th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NILE's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04x is lower than 88% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is NILE overvalued? NILE P/E vs peers
NILE trades at 9.6× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
NILE share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of NILE history (20%/yr drift, 49%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NILE 2027 | ₹830 | ₹1,565 | ₹2,952 | +1% |
| NILE 2028 | ₹642 | ₹1,578 | ₹3,883 | +2% |
| NILE 2029 | ₹540 | ₹1,592 | ₹4,696 | +3% |
| NILE 2030 | ₹463 | ₹1,605 | ₹5,571 | +3% |
| NILE 2031 | ₹407 | ₹1,619 | ₹6,440 | +4% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability NILE goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for NILE
- NILE's P/E of 9.6x is lower than 87% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Low price-to-book of 1.47×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- NILE's return on equity of 19.0% ranks in the 82nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NILE's return on capital employed of 25.3% ranks in the 88th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹4,696.
The bear case & risks
- High historical volatility (49%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹540.
NILE volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years NILE compounded at 20%/year with annualized volatility of 49%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹830-₹2,952, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
NILE price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
NILE price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds NILE hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the NILE price target & forecast page.
NILE Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. NILE scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
NILE MTF margin & leverage across 1 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy NILE with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 1 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Share IndiaCHEAPEST | 37.18% | 2.7× |
Compare every broker on the NILE MTF page.
About NILE: sector, index & market-cap context
NILE (NILE) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹464 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the NILE Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of NILE's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
NILE analysis, FAQs
Is NILE (NILE) a good buy?
On the numbers, NILE (NILE) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 71/100, weighing inexpensive at 9.6× earnings, ROE of 19.0%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is NILE overvalued or undervalued?
NILE trades at 9.6× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the NILE share price target for 2031?
NILE's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,619, with an 80% range of ₹407-₹6,440 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability NILE doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of NILE reaching ₹3,104 (2×) within 5 years is 27%.
What is the bull case for NILE?
NILE's P/E of 9.6x is lower than 87% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 1.47×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets. NILE's return on equity of 19.0% ranks in the 82nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in NILE?
High historical volatility (49%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.