NIRLON
Nirlon Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Nirlon Limited (NIRLON) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is NIRLON a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Nirlon Limited (NIRLON) trades at ₹620,on the numbers it screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 83/100.
On the numbers, Nirlon Limited (NIRLON) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 83/100, weighing fairly valued at 16.2× earnings, ROE of 83.8%, a 66% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
NIRLON fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How NIRLON ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- NIRLON's market cap of 5,587 Cr ranks in the 67th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NIRLON's book value of ₹52 ranks in the 34th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NIRLON's promoter holding of 67.7% ranks in the 68th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NIRLON's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 30.0% ranks in the 69th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NIRLON's 3-year revenue growth of 5.0% ranks in the 35th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NIRLON's debt-to-equity ratio of 2.45x is lower than 4% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is NIRLON overvalued? NIRLON P/E vs peers
NIRLON trades at 16.2× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
NIRLON share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of NIRLON history (11%/yr drift, 20%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIRLON 2027 | ₹523 | ₹670 | ₹858 | +8% |
| NIRLON 2028 | ₹505 | ₹723 | ₹1,033 | +16% |
| NIRLON 2029 | ₹507 | ₹779 | ₹1,199 | +25% |
| NIRLON 2030 | ₹512 | ₹841 | ₹1,379 | +35% |
| NIRLON 2031 | ₹518 | ₹907 | ₹1,586 | +46% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability NIRLON goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for NIRLON
- NIRLON's P/E of 16.2x is lower than 71% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NIRLON's return on equity of 83.8% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NIRLON's return on capital employed of 30.8% ranks in the 93rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NIRLON's dividend yield of 2.4% ranks in the 90th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 66% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹670 (+8%).
- Relatively low volatility (20%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,199.
The bear case & risks
- A steep 11.9× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹507.
NIRLON volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years NIRLON compounded at 11%/year with annualized volatility of 20%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹523-₹858, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
NIRLON price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
NIRLON price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds NIRLON hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the NIRLON price target & forecast page.
NIRLON Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. NIRLON scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
NIRLON MTF margin & leverage across 4 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy NIRLON with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 4 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.00% | 2.9× |
| Zerodha | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Pocketful | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Share IndiaCHEAPEST | 26.50% | 3.8× |
Compare every broker on the NIRLON MTF page.
About Nirlon Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Nirlon Limited (NIRLON) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹5,587 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the NIRLON Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Nirlon Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
NIRLON analysis, FAQs
Is Nirlon Limited (NIRLON) a good buy?
On the numbers, Nirlon Limited (NIRLON) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 83/100, weighing fairly valued at 16.2× earnings, ROE of 83.8%, a 66% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is NIRLON overvalued or undervalued?
NIRLON trades at 16.2× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the NIRLON share price target for 2031?
NIRLON's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹907, with an 80% range of ₹518-₹1,586 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability NIRLON doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of NIRLON reaching ₹1,242 (2×) within 5 years is 24%.
What is the bull case for NIRLON?
NIRLON's P/E of 16.2x is lower than 71% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. NIRLON's return on equity of 83.8% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. NIRLON's return on capital employed of 30.8% ranks in the 93rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in NIRLON?
A steep 11.9× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.