NITCO
Nitco
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Nitco (NITCO) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is NITCO a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Nitco (NITCO) trades at ₹114,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 20/100.
On the numbers, Nitco (NITCO) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 20/100, weighing expensive at 83.3× earnings, ROE of 10.8%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
NITCO fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is NITCO overvalued? NITCO P/E vs its sector
NITCO's P/E of 83.3× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.
NITCO share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of NITCO history (16%/yr drift, 50%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NITCO 2027 | ₹62 | ₹118 | ₹222 | +4% |
| NITCO 2028 | ₹50 | ₹122 | ₹306 | +7% |
| NITCO 2029 | ₹43 | ₹128 | ₹384 | +13% |
| NITCO 2030 | ₹37 | ₹135 | ₹481 | +19% |
| NITCO 2031 | ₹34 | ₹141 | ₹600 | +24% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability NITCO goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for NITCO
- Nitco is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹384.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 83.3× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- Return on equity is a soft 10.8%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- High historical volatility (50%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹43.
NITCO volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years NITCO compounded at 16%/year with annualized volatility of 50%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹62–₹222, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
NITCO price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
NITCO price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds NITCO hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the NITCO price target & forecast page.
NITCO Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. NITCO scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
NITCO MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy NITCO with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 39.1% | 2.6× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 39.1% | 2.6× |
| Dhan | 50.0% | 2.0× |
Compare every broker on the NITCO MTF page.
NITCO vs peers,sector comparison
About Nitco: sector, index & market-cap context
Nitco (NITCO) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,740 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the NITCO Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Nitco's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
NITCO analysis, FAQs
Is Nitco (NITCO) a good buy?
On the numbers, Nitco (NITCO) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 20/100, weighing expensive at 83.3× earnings, ROE of 10.8%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is NITCO overvalued or undervalued?
NITCO trades at 83.3× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the NITCO share price target for 2031?
NITCO's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹141, with an 80% range of ₹34–₹600 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability NITCO doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of NITCO reaching ₹227 (2×) within 5 years is 34%.
What is the bull case for NITCO?
Nitco is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in NITCO?
A rich 83.3× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 10.8%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.