NITCO
Nitco Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Nitco Limited (NITCO) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is NITCO a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Nitco Limited (NITCO) trades at ₹99,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100.
On the numbers, Nitco Limited (NITCO) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 72.6× earnings, ROE of 10.8%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
NITCO fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How NITCO ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- NITCO's market cap of 2,388 Cr ranks in the 53rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NITCO's book value of ₹15 ranks in the 16th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NITCO's promoter holding of 24.0% ranks in the bottom 4% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NITCO's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 31.0% ranks in the 70th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NITCO's 3-year revenue growth of 12.0% ranks in the 55th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NITCO's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.86x is lower than 18% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is NITCO overvalued? NITCO P/E vs peers
NITCO trades at 72.6× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
NITCO share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of NITCO history (5%/yr drift, 50%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NITCO 2027 | ₹52 | ₹98 | ₹185 | -1% |
| NITCO 2028 | ₹39 | ₹97 | ₹241 | -3% |
| NITCO 2029 | ₹32 | ₹95 | ₹287 | -4% |
| NITCO 2030 | ₹26 | ₹94 | ₹333 | -5% |
| NITCO 2031 | ₹22 | ₹93 | ₹395 | -7% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability NITCO goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for NITCO
- Nitco Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹287.
The bear case & risks
- NITCO's P/E of 72.6x is lower than 16% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NITCO's return on equity of 10.8% ranks in the 53rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- High historical volatility (50%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹32.
NITCO volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years NITCO compounded at 5%/year with annualized volatility of 50%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹52-₹185, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
NITCO price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
NITCO price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds NITCO hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the NITCO price target & forecast page.
NITCO Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. NITCO scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
NITCO MTF margin & leverage across 8 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy NITCO with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 8 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 38.66% | 2.6× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 38.65% | 2.6× |
| Groww | 38.81% | 2.6× |
| Dhan | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Kotak Neo | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Paytm Money | 53.66% | 1.9× |
| Pocketful | 38.87% | 2.6× |
| Share India | 38.75% | 2.6× |
Compare every broker on the NITCO MTF page.
About Nitco Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Nitco Limited (NITCO) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,388 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the NITCO Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Nitco Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
NITCO analysis, FAQs
Is Nitco Limited (NITCO) a good buy?
On the numbers, Nitco Limited (NITCO) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 72.6× earnings, ROE of 10.8%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is NITCO overvalued or undervalued?
NITCO trades at 72.6× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the NITCO share price target for 2031?
NITCO's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹93, with an 80% range of ₹22-₹395 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability NITCO doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of NITCO reaching ₹199 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.
What is the bull case for NITCO?
Nitco Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in NITCO?
NITCO's P/E of 72.6x is lower than 16% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. NITCO's return on equity of 10.8% ranks in the 53rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (50%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.