Case study

NITTAGELA

Nitta Gelatin India Limited

Worth a closer look1y model +5.2%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

68Score

Nitta Gelatin India Limited (NITTAGELA) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is NITTAGELA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Nitta Gelatin India Limited (NITTAGELA) trades at ₹1,723,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 68/100.

On the numbers, Nitta Gelatin India Limited (NITTAGELA) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 68/100, weighing fairly valued at 15.1× earnings, ROE of 21.0%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

NITTAGELA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,564 Cr
Current price
₹1,723
P/E ratio
15.1×
P/B ratio
3.06×
Book value
₹563
Dividend yield
0.41%
ROCE
27.7%
ROE
21.0%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How NITTAGELA ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is NITTAGELA overvalued? NITTAGELA P/E vs peers

NITTAGELA trades at 15.1× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

NITTAGELA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of NITTAGELA history (23%/yr drift, 38%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
NITTAGELA 2027₹1,108₹1,804₹2,939+5%
NITTAGELA 2028₹946₹1,899₹3,812+11%
NITTAGELA 2029₹852₹1,998₹4,685+17%
NITTAGELA 2030₹792₹2,103₹5,582+23%
NITTAGELA 2031₹744₹2,213₹6,581+29%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability NITTAGELA goes up, or doubles?

56%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
62%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
30%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹3,429 within 5 years

The bull case for NITTAGELA

  • NITTAGELA's P/E of 15.1x is lower than 74% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • NITTAGELA's return on equity of 21.0% ranks in the 85th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • NITTAGELA's return on capital employed of 27.7% ranks in the 90th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹4,685.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹852.

NITTAGELA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years NITTAGELA compounded at 23%/year with annualized volatility of 38%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,108-₹2,939, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

NITTAGELA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
5.2%
80% range₹1,108-₹2,939
P(price ↑)56%
P(price 2×)4%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
16.5%
80% range₹852-₹4,685
P(price ↑)59%
P(price 2×)21%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
29.1%
80% range₹744-₹6,581
P(price ↑)62%
P(price 2×)30%

NITTAGELA price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
NITTAGELA simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds NITTAGELA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the NITTAGELA price target & forecast page.

NITTAGELA Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. NITTAGELA scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

NITTAGELA MTF margin & leverage across 6 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy NITTAGELA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 6 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Zerodha50.00%2.0×
Groww37.12%2.7×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Paytm Money100.00%1.0×
Pocketful50.00%2.0×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST37.00%2.7×

Compare every broker on the NITTAGELA MTF page.

About Nitta Gelatin India Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Nitta Gelatin India Limited (NITTAGELA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,564 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the NITTAGELA Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Nitta Gelatin India Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

NITTAGELA analysis, FAQs

Is Nitta Gelatin India Limited (NITTAGELA) a good buy?

On the numbers, Nitta Gelatin India Limited (NITTAGELA) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 68/100, weighing fairly valued at 15.1× earnings, ROE of 21.0%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is NITTAGELA overvalued or undervalued?

NITTAGELA trades at 15.1× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the NITTAGELA share price target for 2031?

NITTAGELA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹2,213, with an 80% range of ₹744-₹6,581 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability NITTAGELA doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of NITTAGELA reaching ₹3,429 (2×) within 5 years is 30%.

What is the bull case for NITTAGELA?

NITTAGELA's P/E of 15.1x is lower than 74% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. NITTAGELA's return on equity of 21.0% ranks in the 85th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. NITTAGELA's return on capital employed of 27.7% ranks in the 90th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in NITTAGELA?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on NITTAGELA