NRBBEARING
NRB Bearing
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
NRB Bearing (NRBBEARING) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is NRBBEARING a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
NRB Bearing (NRBBEARING) trades at ₹429,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100.
On the numbers, NRB Bearing (NRBBEARING) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing premium at 28.1× earnings, ROE of 15.7%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
NRBBEARING fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is NRBBEARING overvalued? NRBBEARING P/E vs its sector
NRBBEARING's P/E of 28.1× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 1.85% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.67%.
NRBBEARING share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of NRBBEARING history (12%/yr drift, 38%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NRBBEARING 2027 | ₹277 | ₹451 | ₹719 | +5% |
| NRBBEARING 2028 | ₹239 | ₹474 | ₹921 | +11% |
| NRBBEARING 2029 | ₹215 | ₹499 | ₹1,143 | +16% |
| NRBBEARING 2030 | ₹204 | ₹526 | ₹1,345 | +23% |
| NRBBEARING 2031 | ₹190 | ₹558 | ₹1,591 | +30% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability NRBBEARING goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for NRBBEARING
- A healthy 15.7% return on equity.
- Strong ROCE (18.6%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,143.
The bear case & risks
- At 28.1× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹215.
NRBBEARING volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years NRBBEARING compounded at 12%/year with annualized volatility of 38%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹277–₹719, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
NRBBEARING price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
NRBBEARING price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds NRBBEARING hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the NRBBEARING price target & forecast page.
NRBBEARING Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. NRBBEARING scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
NRBBEARING MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy NRBBEARING with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 33.8% | 3.0× |
| Dhan | 49.0% | 2.0× |
Compare every broker on the NRBBEARING MTF page.
NRBBEARING vs peers,sector comparison
About NRB Bearing: sector, index & market-cap context
NRB Bearing (NRBBEARING) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹4,152 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the NRBBEARING Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of NRB Bearing's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
NRBBEARING analysis, FAQs
Is NRB Bearing (NRBBEARING) a good buy?
On the numbers, NRB Bearing (NRBBEARING) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing premium at 28.1× earnings, ROE of 15.7%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is NRBBEARING overvalued or undervalued?
NRBBEARING trades at 28.1× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the NRBBEARING share price target for 2031?
NRBBEARING's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹558, with an 80% range of ₹190–₹1,591 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability NRBBEARING doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of NRBBEARING reaching ₹857 (2×) within 5 years is 30%.
What is the bull case for NRBBEARING?
A healthy 15.7% return on equity. Strong ROCE (18.6%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in NRBBEARING?
At 28.1× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.