NSIL
Nalwa Sons Investment
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Nalwa Sons Investment (NSIL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is NSIL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Nalwa Sons Investment (NSIL) trades at ₹5,750,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100.
On the numbers, Nalwa Sons Investment (NSIL) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100, weighing expensive at 54.3× earnings, ROE of 0.3%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
NSIL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is NSIL overvalued? NSIL P/E vs its sector
NSIL's P/E of 54.3× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.
NSIL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of NSIL history (16%/yr drift, 44%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSIL 2027 | ₹3,469 | ₹6,106 | ₹10,631 | +7% |
| NSIL 2028 | ₹2,964 | ₹6,556 | ₹14,564 | +14% |
| NSIL 2029 | ₹2,630 | ₹7,065 | ₹18,526 | +23% |
| NSIL 2030 | ₹2,446 | ₹7,444 | ₹22,845 | +30% |
| NSIL 2031 | ₹2,301 | ₹7,977 | ₹27,940 | +39% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability NSIL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for NSIL
- Low price-to-book of 0.19×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹18,526.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 54.3× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- Return on equity is a soft 0.3%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹2,630.
NSIL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years NSIL compounded at 16%/year with annualized volatility of 44%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹3,469–₹10,631, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
NSIL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
NSIL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds NSIL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the NSIL price target & forecast page.
NSIL Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. NSIL scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
NSIL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy NSIL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 32.4% | 3.1× |
| Dhan | 40.0% | 2.5× |
Compare every broker on the NSIL MTF page.
NSIL vs peers,sector comparison
About Nalwa Sons Investment: sector, index & market-cap context
Nalwa Sons Investment (NSIL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,962 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the NSIL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Nalwa Sons Investment's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
NSIL analysis, FAQs
Is Nalwa Sons Investment (NSIL) a good buy?
On the numbers, Nalwa Sons Investment (NSIL) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100, weighing expensive at 54.3× earnings, ROE of 0.3%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is NSIL overvalued or undervalued?
NSIL trades at 54.3× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the NSIL share price target for 2031?
NSIL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹7,977, with an 80% range of ₹2,301–₹27,940 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability NSIL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of NSIL reaching ₹11,465 (2×) within 5 years is 36%.
What is the bull case for NSIL?
Low price-to-book of 0.19×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
What are the risks in NSIL?
A rich 54.3× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 0.3%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.