NTPCGREEN
NTPC GREEN ENERGY LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
NTPC GREEN ENERGY LIMITED (NTPCGREEN) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is NTPCGREEN a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
NTPC GREEN ENERGY LIMITED (NTPCGREEN) trades at ₹97,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 19/100.
On the numbers, NTPC GREEN ENERGY LIMITED (NTPCGREEN) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 19/100, weighing expensive at 157.0× earnings, ROE of 2.8%, a 27% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
NTPCGREEN fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is NTPCGREEN overvalued? NTPCGREEN P/E vs its sector
NTPCGREEN's P/E of 157.0× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.
NTPCGREEN share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 1.5y of NTPCGREEN history (-15%/yr drift, 34%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NTPCGREEN 2027 | ₹50 | ₹78 | ₹121 | -19% |
| NTPCGREEN 2028 | ₹34 | ₹63 | ₹117 | -34% |
| NTPCGREEN 2029 | ₹24 | ₹51 | ₹109 | -47% |
| NTPCGREEN 2030 | ₹17 | ₹41 | ₹99 | -57% |
| NTPCGREEN 2031 | ₹13 | ₹33 | ₹87 | -66% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability NTPCGREEN goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for NTPCGREEN
- NTPC GREEN ENERGY LIMITED is part of the nifty100 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹109.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 157.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- Return on equity is a soft 2.8%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 27% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹24.
NTPCGREEN volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 1.5 years NTPCGREEN compounded at -15%/year with annualized volatility of 34%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹50–₹121, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
NTPCGREEN price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
NTPCGREEN price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds NTPCGREEN hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the NTPCGREEN price target & forecast page.
NTPCGREEN Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. NTPCGREEN scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
NTPCGREEN MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy NTPCGREEN with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 29.7% | 3.4× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 29.7% | 3.4× |
| Dhan | 30.0% | 3.3× |
Compare every broker on the NTPCGREEN MTF page.
NTPCGREEN vs peers,sector comparison
About NTPC GREEN ENERGY LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
NTPC GREEN ENERGY LIMITED (NTPCGREEN) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹81,836 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.
How the NTPCGREEN Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of NTPC GREEN ENERGY LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
NTPCGREEN analysis, FAQs
Is NTPC GREEN ENERGY LIMITED (NTPCGREEN) a good buy?
On the numbers, NTPC GREEN ENERGY LIMITED (NTPCGREEN) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 19/100, weighing expensive at 157.0× earnings, ROE of 2.8%, a 27% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is NTPCGREEN overvalued or undervalued?
NTPCGREEN trades at 157.0× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the NTPCGREEN share price target for 2031?
NTPCGREEN's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹33, with an 80% range of ₹13–₹87 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability NTPCGREEN doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of NTPCGREEN reaching ₹192 (2×) within 5 years is 1%.
What is the bull case for NTPCGREEN?
NTPC GREEN ENERGY LIMITED is part of the nifty100 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in NTPCGREEN?
A rich 157.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 2.8%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.