NTPCGREEN
NTPC GREEN ENERGY LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
NTPC GREEN ENERGY LIMITED (NTPCGREEN) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is NTPCGREEN a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
NTPC GREEN ENERGY LIMITED (NTPCGREEN) trades at ₹92,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.
On the numbers, NTPC GREEN ENERGY LIMITED (NTPCGREEN) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 127.0× earnings, ROE of 2.8%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
NTPCGREEN fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How NTPCGREEN ranks against the 2,371 companies in our screener
- NTPCGREEN's market cap of 77,101 Cr ranks in the 94th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- NTPCGREEN's book value of ₹23 ranks in the 20th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- NTPCGREEN's promoter holding of 89.0% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- NTPCGREEN's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 45.0% ranks in the 81st percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- NTPCGREEN's 3-year revenue growth of 156.0% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- NTPCGREEN's debt-to-equity ratio of 1.67x is lower than 7% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
Is NTPCGREEN overvalued? NTPCGREEN P/E vs peers
NTPCGREEN trades at 127.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
NTPCGREEN share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 1.7y of NTPCGREEN history (-17%/yr drift, 34%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NTPCGREEN 2027 | ₹62 | ₹96 | ₹148 | +5% |
| NTPCGREEN 2028 | ₹54 | ₹100 | ₹185 | +9% |
| NTPCGREEN 2029 | ₹49 | ₹105 | ₹222 | +14% |
| NTPCGREEN 2030 | ₹46 | ₹109 | ₹259 | +19% |
| NTPCGREEN 2031 | ₹44 | ₹114 | ₹299 | +25% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability NTPCGREEN goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for NTPCGREEN
- NTPC GREEN ENERGY LIMITED is part of the nifty100 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹222.
The bear case & risks
- NTPCGREEN's P/E of 127.0x is lower than 9% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- NTPCGREEN's return on equity of 2.8% ranks in the 22nd percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹49.
NTPCGREEN volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 1.7 years NTPCGREEN compounded at -17%/year with annualized volatility of 34%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹62-₹148, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
NTPCGREEN price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
NTPCGREEN price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds NTPCGREEN hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the NTPCGREEN price target & forecast page.
NTPCGREEN Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. NTPCGREEN scores 4/8, mixed financial health.
NTPCGREEN MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy NTPCGREEN with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 29.37% | 3.4× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 29.34% | 3.4× |
| Groww | 29.48% | 3.4× |
| Dhan | 30.00% | 3.3× |
| Kotak Neo | 30.03% | 3.3× |
| Paytm Money | 30.24% | 3.3× |
| Pocketful | 29.36% | 3.4× |
| Fyers | 30.30% | 3.3× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 29.34% | 3.4× |
| Bajaj Broking | 31.00% | 3.2× |
| Share India | 29.46% | 3.4× |
Compare every broker on the NTPCGREEN MTF page.
About NTPC GREEN ENERGY LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
NTPC GREEN ENERGY LIMITED (NTPCGREEN) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹77,101 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the NTPCGREEN Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of NTPC GREEN ENERGY LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
NTPCGREEN analysis, FAQs
Is NTPC GREEN ENERGY LIMITED (NTPCGREEN) a good buy?
On the numbers, NTPC GREEN ENERGY LIMITED (NTPCGREEN) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 127.0× earnings, ROE of 2.8%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is NTPCGREEN overvalued or undervalued?
NTPCGREEN trades at 127.0× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the NTPCGREEN share price target for 2031?
NTPCGREEN's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹114, with an 80% range of ₹44-₹299 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability NTPCGREEN doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of NTPCGREEN reaching ₹183 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.
What is the bull case for NTPCGREEN?
NTPC GREEN ENERGY LIMITED is part of the nifty100 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in NTPCGREEN?
NTPCGREEN's P/E of 127.0x is lower than 9% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026. NTPCGREEN's return on equity of 2.8% ranks in the 22nd percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.