NUVAMA
Nuvama Wealth Management Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Nuvama Wealth Management Limited (NUVAMA) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is NUVAMA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Nuvama Wealth Management Limited (NUVAMA) trades at ₹1,643,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 54/100.
On the numbers, Nuvama Wealth Management Limited (NUVAMA) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 54/100, weighing premium at 27.8× earnings, ROE of 27.4%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
NUVAMA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How NUVAMA ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- NUVAMA's market cap of 30,163 Cr ranks in the 88th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NUVAMA's book value of ₹226 ranks in the 74th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NUVAMA's promoter holding of 54.0% ranks in the 39th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NUVAMA's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 51.0% ranks in the 84th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NUVAMA's 3-year revenue growth of 28.0% ranks in the 83rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NUVAMA's debt-to-equity ratio of 2.80x is lower than 3% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is NUVAMA overvalued? NUVAMA P/E vs peers
NUVAMA trades at 27.8× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
NUVAMA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.8y of NUVAMA history (41%/yr drift, 42%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NUVAMA 2027 | ₹964 | ₹1,666 | ₹2,879 | +1% |
| NUVAMA 2028 | ₹772 | ₹1,689 | ₹3,697 | +3% |
| NUVAMA 2029 | ₹659 | ₹1,713 | ₹4,454 | +4% |
| NUVAMA 2030 | ₹577 | ₹1,737 | ₹5,227 | +6% |
| NUVAMA 2031 | ₹509 | ₹1,761 | ₹6,094 | +7% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability NUVAMA goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for NUVAMA
- NUVAMA's return on equity of 27.4% ranks in the 92nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹4,454.
The bear case & risks
- NUVAMA's P/E of 27.8x is lower than 49% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹659.
NUVAMA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.8 years NUVAMA compounded at 41%/year with annualized volatility of 42%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹964-₹2,879, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
NUVAMA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
NUVAMA price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds NUVAMA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the NUVAMA price target & forecast page.
NUVAMA Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. NUVAMA scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
NUVAMA MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy NUVAMA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.00% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 33.94% | 2.9× |
| Groww | 34.05% | 2.9× |
| Dhan | 49.00% | 2.0× |
| Kotak Neo | 34.97% | 2.9× |
| Paytm Money | 36.00% | 2.8× |
| Pocketful | 34.01% | 2.9× |
| Anand Rathi | 35.00% | 2.9× |
| Bajaj Broking | 49.00% | 2.0× |
| Share India | 33.98% | 2.9× |
Compare every broker on the NUVAMA MTF page.
About Nuvama Wealth Management Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Nuvama Wealth Management Limited (NUVAMA) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹30,163 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the NUVAMA Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Nuvama Wealth Management Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
NUVAMA analysis, FAQs
Is Nuvama Wealth Management Limited (NUVAMA) a good buy?
On the numbers, Nuvama Wealth Management Limited (NUVAMA) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 54/100, weighing premium at 27.8× earnings, ROE of 27.4%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is NUVAMA overvalued or undervalued?
NUVAMA trades at 27.8× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the NUVAMA share price target for 2031?
NUVAMA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,761, with an 80% range of ₹509-₹6,094 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability NUVAMA doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of NUVAMA reaching ₹3,285 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.
What is the bull case for NUVAMA?
NUVAMA's return on equity of 27.4% ranks in the 92nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in NUVAMA?
NUVAMA's P/E of 27.8x is lower than 49% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.