NUVAMA
NUVAMA WEALTH MANAGE LTD
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
NUVAMA WEALTH MANAGE LTD (NUVAMA) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is NUVAMA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
NUVAMA WEALTH MANAGE LTD (NUVAMA) trades at ₹1,741,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 62/100.
On the numbers, NUVAMA WEALTH MANAGE LTD (NUVAMA) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 62/100, weighing premium at 30.6× earnings, ROE of 27.4%, a 67% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
NUVAMA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is NUVAMA overvalued? NUVAMA P/E vs its sector
NUVAMA's P/E of 30.6× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 1.60% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
NUVAMA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of NUVAMA history (28%/yr drift, 43%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NUVAMA 2027 | ₹1,209 | ₹2,107 | ₹3,635 | +21% |
| NUVAMA 2028 | ₹1,193 | ₹2,534 | ₹5,457 | +46% |
| NUVAMA 2029 | ₹1,200 | ₹3,112 | ₹7,933 | +79% |
| NUVAMA 2030 | ₹1,261 | ₹3,739 | ₹11,065 | +115% |
| NUVAMA 2031 | ₹1,341 | ₹4,541 | ₹15,537 | +161% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability NUVAMA goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for NUVAMA
- High return on equity (27.4%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 67% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹2,107 (+21%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹7,933.
The bear case & risks
- At 30.6× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,200.
NUVAMA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years NUVAMA compounded at 28%/year with annualized volatility of 43%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,209–₹3,635, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
NUVAMA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
NUVAMA price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds NUVAMA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the NUVAMA price target & forecast page.
NUVAMA Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. NUVAMA scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
NUVAMA MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy NUVAMA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 29.1% | 3.4× |
| Dhan | 42.0% | 2.4× |
Compare every broker on the NUVAMA MTF page.
NUVAMA vs peers,sector comparison
About NUVAMA WEALTH MANAGE LTD: sector, index & market-cap context
NUVAMA WEALTH MANAGE LTD (NUVAMA) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹31,826 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.
How the NUVAMA Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of NUVAMA WEALTH MANAGE LTD's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
NUVAMA analysis, FAQs
Is NUVAMA WEALTH MANAGE LTD (NUVAMA) a good buy?
On the numbers, NUVAMA WEALTH MANAGE LTD (NUVAMA) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 62/100, weighing premium at 30.6× earnings, ROE of 27.4%, a 67% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is NUVAMA overvalued or undervalued?
NUVAMA trades at 30.6× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the NUVAMA share price target for 2031?
NUVAMA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹4,541, with an 80% range of ₹1,341–₹15,537 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability NUVAMA doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of NUVAMA reaching ₹3,482 (2×) within 5 years is 61%.
What is the bull case for NUVAMA?
High return on equity (27.4%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 67% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹2,107 (+21%).
What are the risks in NUVAMA?
At 30.6× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.