NUVOCO
Nuvoco Vistas Corp
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Nuvoco Vistas Corp (NUVOCO) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is NUVOCO a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Nuvoco Vistas Corp (NUVOCO) trades at ₹314,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100.
On the numbers, Nuvoco Vistas Corp (NUVOCO) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100, weighing premium at 28.7× earnings, ROE of 4.0%, a 37% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
NUVOCO fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is NUVOCO overvalued? NUVOCO P/E vs its sector
NUVOCO's P/E of 28.7× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.
NUVOCO share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of NUVOCO history (-6%/yr drift, 30%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NUVOCO 2027 | ₹192 | ₹282 | ₹418 | -10% |
| NUVOCO 2028 | ₹148 | ₹254 | ₹446 | -19% |
| NUVOCO 2029 | ₹117 | ₹229 | ₹455 | -27% |
| NUVOCO 2030 | ₹95 | ₹205 | ₹448 | -34% |
| NUVOCO 2031 | ₹77 | ₹185 | ₹441 | -41% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability NUVOCO goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for NUVOCO
- Low price-to-book of 1.10×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹455.
The bear case & risks
- At 28.7× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- Return on equity is a soft 4.0%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 37% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹117.
NUVOCO volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years NUVOCO compounded at -6%/year with annualized volatility of 30%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹192–₹418, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
NUVOCO price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
NUVOCO price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds NUVOCO hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the NUVOCO price target & forecast page.
NUVOCO Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. NUVOCO scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
NUVOCO MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy NUVOCO with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 30.7% | 3.3× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 30.7% | 3.3× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 30.7% | 3.3× |
Compare every broker on the NUVOCO MTF page.
NUVOCO vs peers,sector comparison
About Nuvoco Vistas Corp: sector, index & market-cap context
Nuvoco Vistas Corp (NUVOCO) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹11,179 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the NUVOCO Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Nuvoco Vistas Corp's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
NUVOCO analysis, FAQs
Is Nuvoco Vistas Corp (NUVOCO) a good buy?
On the numbers, Nuvoco Vistas Corp (NUVOCO) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100, weighing premium at 28.7× earnings, ROE of 4.0%, a 37% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is NUVOCO overvalued or undervalued?
NUVOCO trades at 28.7× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the NUVOCO share price target for 2031?
NUVOCO's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹185, with an 80% range of ₹77–₹441 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability NUVOCO doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of NUVOCO reaching ₹626 (2×) within 5 years is 4%.
What is the bull case for NUVOCO?
Low price-to-book of 1.10×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
What are the risks in NUVOCO?
At 28.7× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. Return on equity is a soft 4.0%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.