Case study

NUVOCO

Nuvoco Vistas Corporation Limited

Tread carefully1y model +5.2%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

39Score

Nuvoco Vistas Corporation Limited (NUVOCO) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is NUVOCO a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Nuvoco Vistas Corporation Limited (NUVOCO) trades at ₹346,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.

On the numbers, Nuvoco Vistas Corporation Limited (NUVOCO) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 29.8× earnings, ROE of 4.0%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

NUVOCO fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹12,350 Cr
Current price
₹346
P/E ratio
29.8×
P/B ratio
1.21×
Book value
₹286
ROCE
7.1%
ROE
4.0%
Piotroski F-Score
4/8

How NUVOCO ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is NUVOCO overvalued? NUVOCO P/E vs peers

NUVOCO trades at 29.8× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

NUVOCO share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 4.9y of NUVOCO history (-9%/yr drift, 31%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
NUVOCO 2027₹246₹364₹539+5%
NUVOCO 2028₹215₹383₹681+11%
NUVOCO 2029₹199₹402₹815+16%
NUVOCO 2030₹190₹423₹944+22%
NUVOCO 2031₹182₹445₹1,089+29%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability NUVOCO goes up, or doubles?

56%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
64%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
27%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹692 within 5 years

The bull case for NUVOCO

  • Low price-to-book of 1.21×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹815.

The bear case & risks

  • NUVOCO's P/E of 29.8x is lower than 46% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • NUVOCO's return on equity of 4.0% ranks in the 26th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹199.

NUVOCO volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 4.9 years NUVOCO compounded at -9%/year with annualized volatility of 31%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹246-₹539, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

NUVOCO price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 4.9 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
5.2%
80% range₹246-₹539
P(price ↑)56%
P(price 2×)2%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
16.4%
80% range₹199-₹815
P(price ↑)61%
P(price 2×)16%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
28.8%
80% range₹182-₹1,089
P(price ↑)64%
P(price 2×)27%

NUVOCO price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
NUVOCO simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds NUVOCO hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the NUVOCO price target & forecast page.

NUVOCO Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?

4/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. NUVOCO scores 4/8, mixed financial health.

NUVOCO MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy NUVOCO with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST31.64%3.2×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST31.64%3.2×
Groww31.74%3.2×
DhanCHEAPEST31.64%3.2×
Kotak Neo34.97%2.9×
Paytm Money31.76%3.1×
Pocketful31.89%3.1×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST31.64%3.2×
Bajaj Broking32.00%3.1×
Share India31.72%3.2×

Compare every broker on the NUVOCO MTF page.

About Nuvoco Vistas Corporation Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Nuvoco Vistas Corporation Limited (NUVOCO) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹12,350 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the NUVOCO Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Nuvoco Vistas Corporation Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

NUVOCO analysis, FAQs

Is Nuvoco Vistas Corporation Limited (NUVOCO) a good buy?

On the numbers, Nuvoco Vistas Corporation Limited (NUVOCO) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 29.8× earnings, ROE of 4.0%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is NUVOCO overvalued or undervalued?

NUVOCO trades at 29.8× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the NUVOCO share price target for 2031?

NUVOCO's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹445, with an 80% range of ₹182-₹1,089 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability NUVOCO doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of NUVOCO reaching ₹692 (2×) within 5 years is 27%.

What is the bull case for NUVOCO?

Low price-to-book of 1.21×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.

What are the risks in NUVOCO?

NUVOCO's P/E of 29.8x is lower than 46% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. NUVOCO's return on equity of 4.0% ranks in the 26th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

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