Case study

OLECTRA

OLECTRA GREENTECH LIMITED

Mixed signals1y model +3.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

45Score

OLECTRA GREENTECH LIMITED (OLECTRA) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is OLECTRA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

OLECTRA GREENTECH LIMITED (OLECTRA) trades at ₹1,385,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100.

On the numbers, OLECTRA GREENTECH LIMITED (OLECTRA) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100, weighing expensive at 64.0× earnings, ROE of 15.6%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

OLECTRA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹11,368 Cr
Current price
₹1,385
P/E ratio
64.0×
P/B ratio
9.23×
Book value
₹150
Dividend yield
0.03%
ROCE
21.0%
ROE
15.6%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How OLECTRA ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is OLECTRA overvalued? OLECTRA P/E vs peers

OLECTRA trades at 64.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

OLECTRA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of OLECTRA history (41%/yr drift, 45%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
OLECTRA 2027₹820₹1,432₹2,501+3%
OLECTRA 2028₹658₹1,481₹3,333+7%
OLECTRA 2029₹568₹1,531₹4,131+11%
OLECTRA 2030₹511₹1,583₹4,908+14%
OLECTRA 2031₹456₹1,637₹5,875+18%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability OLECTRA goes up, or doubles?

53%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
57%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
30%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹2,770 within 5 years

The bull case for OLECTRA

  • OLECTRA's return on equity of 15.6% ranks in the 73rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • OLECTRA's return on capital employed of 21.0% ranks in the 82nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹4,131.

The bear case & risks

  • OLECTRA's P/E of 64.0x is lower than 19% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A steep 9.2× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹568.

OLECTRA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years OLECTRA compounded at 41%/year with annualized volatility of 45%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹820-₹2,501, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

OLECTRA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
3.4%
80% range₹820-₹2,501
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)6%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
10.6%
80% range₹568-₹4,131
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)22%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
18.2%
80% range₹456-₹5,875
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)30%

OLECTRA price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
OLECTRA simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds OLECTRA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the OLECTRA price target & forecast page.

OLECTRA Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. OLECTRA scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

OLECTRA MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy OLECTRA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox36.09%2.8×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST36.04%2.8×
Groww36.19%2.8×
DhanCHEAPEST36.04%2.8×
Kotak Neo36.10%2.8×
Paytm Money36.42%2.7×
Pocketful36.70%2.7×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST36.04%2.8×
Bajaj Broking50.00%2.0×
Share India36.15%2.8×

Compare every broker on the OLECTRA MTF page.

About OLECTRA GREENTECH LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

OLECTRA GREENTECH LIMITED (OLECTRA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹11,368 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the OLECTRA Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of OLECTRA GREENTECH LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

OLECTRA analysis, FAQs

Is OLECTRA GREENTECH LIMITED (OLECTRA) a good buy?

On the numbers, OLECTRA GREENTECH LIMITED (OLECTRA) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100, weighing expensive at 64.0× earnings, ROE of 15.6%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is OLECTRA overvalued or undervalued?

OLECTRA trades at 64.0× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the OLECTRA share price target for 2031?

OLECTRA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,637, with an 80% range of ₹456-₹5,875 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability OLECTRA doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of OLECTRA reaching ₹2,770 (2×) within 5 years is 30%.

What is the bull case for OLECTRA?

OLECTRA's return on equity of 15.6% ranks in the 73rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. OLECTRA's return on capital employed of 21.0% ranks in the 82nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in OLECTRA?

OLECTRA's P/E of 64.0x is lower than 19% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 9.2× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.

More on OLECTRA