OLECTRA
Olectra Greentech
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Olectra Greentech (OLECTRA) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is OLECTRA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Olectra Greentech (OLECTRA) trades at ₹1,523,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 34/100.
On the numbers, Olectra Greentech (OLECTRA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 34/100, weighing expensive at 70.6× earnings, ROE of 15.6%, a 35% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
OLECTRA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is OLECTRA overvalued? OLECTRA P/E vs its sector
OLECTRA's P/E of 70.6× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.03% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
OLECTRA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of OLECTRA history (-7%/yr drift, 45%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OLECTRA 2027 | ₹722 | ₹1,284 | ₹2,293 | -16% |
| OLECTRA 2028 | ₹479 | ₹1,083 | ₹2,432 | -29% |
| OLECTRA 2029 | ₹339 | ₹913 | ₹2,466 | -40% |
| OLECTRA 2030 | ₹244 | ₹765 | ₹2,460 | -50% |
| OLECTRA 2031 | ₹177 | ₹656 | ₹2,346 | -57% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability OLECTRA goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for OLECTRA
- A healthy 15.6% return on equity.
- Strong ROCE (21.0%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,466.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 70.6× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- A steep 10.2× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 35% chance of finishing above today's price.
- High historical volatility (45%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹339.
OLECTRA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years OLECTRA compounded at -7%/year with annualized volatility of 45%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹722–₹2,293, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
OLECTRA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
OLECTRA price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds OLECTRA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the OLECTRA price target & forecast page.
OLECTRA Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. OLECTRA scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
OLECTRA MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy OLECTRA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 37.3% | 2.7× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 37.3% | 2.7× |
| GrowwCHEAPEST | 37.3% | 2.7× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 37.3% | 2.7× |
Compare every broker on the OLECTRA MTF page.
OLECTRA vs peers,sector comparison
About Olectra Greentech: sector, index & market-cap context
Olectra Greentech (OLECTRA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹12,525 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the OLECTRA Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Olectra Greentech's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
OLECTRA analysis, FAQs
Is Olectra Greentech (OLECTRA) a good buy?
On the numbers, Olectra Greentech (OLECTRA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 34/100, weighing expensive at 70.6× earnings, ROE of 15.6%, a 35% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is OLECTRA overvalued or undervalued?
OLECTRA trades at 70.6× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the OLECTRA share price target for 2031?
OLECTRA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹656, with an 80% range of ₹177–₹2,346 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability OLECTRA doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of OLECTRA reaching ₹3,041 (2×) within 5 years is 6%.
What is the bull case for OLECTRA?
A healthy 15.6% return on equity. Strong ROCE (21.0%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in OLECTRA?
A rich 70.6× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 10.2× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 35% chance of finishing above today's price.