Case study

ONWARDTEC

Onward Technologies Limited

Screens attractive1y model -0.7%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

75Score

Onward Technologies Limited (ONWARDTEC) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is ONWARDTEC a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Onward Technologies Limited (ONWARDTEC) trades at ₹291,on the numbers it screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 75/100.

On the numbers, Onward Technologies Limited (ONWARDTEC) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 75/100, weighing inexpensive at 14.4× earnings, ROE of 19.5%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

ONWARDTEC fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹647 Cr
Current price
₹291
P/E ratio
14.4×
P/B ratio
2.62×
Book value
₹111
Dividend yield
2.75%
ROCE
22.9%
ROE
19.5%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How ONWARDTEC ranks against the 2,371 companies in our screener

Is ONWARDTEC overvalued? ONWARDTEC P/E vs peers

ONWARDTEC trades at 14.4× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

ONWARDTEC share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of ONWARDTEC history (15%/yr drift, 47%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
ONWARDTEC 2027₹157₹289₹531-1%
ONWARDTEC 2028₹121₹287₹678-1%
ONWARDTEC 2029₹101₹285₹804-2%
ONWARDTEC 2030₹85₹283₹938-3%
ONWARDTEC 2031₹74₹281₹1,076-3%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability ONWARDTEC goes up, or doubles?

49%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
49%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
25%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹581 within 5 years

The bull case for ONWARDTEC

  • ONWARDTEC's P/E of 14.4x is lower than 76% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
  • ONWARDTEC's return on equity of 19.5% ranks in the 83rd percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
  • ONWARDTEC's return on capital employed of 22.9% ranks in the 86th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
  • ONWARDTEC's dividend yield of 2.8% ranks in the 93rd percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹804.

The bear case & risks

  • High historical volatility (47%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹101.

ONWARDTEC volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years ONWARDTEC compounded at 15%/year with annualized volatility of 47%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹157-₹531, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

ONWARDTEC price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
0.7%
80% range₹157-₹531
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)7%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
1.9%
80% range₹101-₹804
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)19%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
3.2%
80% range₹74-₹1,076
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)25%

ONWARDTEC price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
ONWARDTEC simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds ONWARDTEC hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the ONWARDTEC price target & forecast page.

ONWARDTEC Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ONWARDTEC scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

ONWARDTEC MTF margin & leverage across 6 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ONWARDTEC with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 6 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Zerodha50.00%2.0×
Groww37.13%2.7×
Dhan50.00%2.0×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Pocketful50.00%2.0×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST37.08%2.7×

Compare every broker on the ONWARDTEC MTF page.

About Onward Technologies Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Onward Technologies Limited (ONWARDTEC) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹647 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the ONWARDTEC Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Onward Technologies Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

ONWARDTEC analysis, FAQs

Is Onward Technologies Limited (ONWARDTEC) a good buy?

On the numbers, Onward Technologies Limited (ONWARDTEC) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 75/100, weighing inexpensive at 14.4× earnings, ROE of 19.5%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is ONWARDTEC overvalued or undervalued?

ONWARDTEC trades at 14.4× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the ONWARDTEC share price target for 2031?

ONWARDTEC's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹281, with an 80% range of ₹74-₹1,076 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability ONWARDTEC doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of ONWARDTEC reaching ₹581 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.

What is the bull case for ONWARDTEC?

ONWARDTEC's P/E of 14.4x is lower than 76% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026. ONWARDTEC's return on equity of 19.5% ranks in the 83rd percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026. ONWARDTEC's return on capital employed of 22.9% ranks in the 86th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in ONWARDTEC?

High historical volatility (47%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on ONWARDTEC