Case study

ORBTEXP

Orbit Exports Ltd

Screens weak1y model -4.9%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

44Score

Orbit Exports Ltd (ORBTEXP) Stock Analysis & Case Study

What the numbers say about ORBTEXP, and the method behind each one.

Orbit Exports Ltd (ORBTEXP) trades at ₹248,on the numbers it screens weak, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100.

On the numbers, Orbit Exports Ltd (ORBTEXP) screens weak, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing fairly valued at 15.3× earnings, ROE of 11.2%, a 47% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

ORBTEXP fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹647 Cr
Current price
₹248
P/E ratio
15.3×
P/B ratio
2.14×
Book value
₹116
Dividend yield
0.20%
ROCE
14.6%
ROE
11.2%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How ORBTEXP ranks against the 2,979 companies in our screener

Is ORBTEXP overvalued? ORBTEXP P/E vs peers

ORBTEXP trades at 15.3× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

ORBTEXP share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of ORBTEXP history (7%/yr drift, 58%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
ORBTEXP 2027₹110₹226₹465-5%
ORBTEXP 2028₹77₹215₹596-10%
ORBTEXP 2029₹58₹204₹715-14%
ORBTEXP 2030₹45₹194₹830-18%
ORBTEXP 2031₹35₹184₹958-22%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability ORBTEXP goes up, or doubles?

47%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
42%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
23%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹475 within 5 years

The bull case for ORBTEXP

  • ORBTEXP's P/E of 15.3x is lower than 69% of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹715.

The bear case & risks

  • ORBTEXP's return on equity of 11.2% ranks in the 53rd percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (58%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹58.

ORBTEXP volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years ORBTEXP compounded at 7%/year with annualized volatility of 58%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹110-₹465, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

ORBTEXP price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
4.9%
80% range₹110-₹465
P(price ↑)47%
P(price 2×)9%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
14.1%
80% range₹58-₹715
P(price ↑)44%
P(price 2×)19%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
22.4%
80% range₹35-₹958
P(price ↑)42%
P(price 2×)23%

ORBTEXP price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
ORBTEXP simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds ORBTEXP hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the ORBTEXP price target & forecast page.

ORBTEXP Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ORBTEXP scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

About Orbit Exports Ltd: sector, index & market-cap context

Orbit Exports Ltd (ORBTEXP) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹647 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the ORBTEXP Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Orbit Exports Ltd's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

ORBTEXP analysis, FAQs

Is Orbit Exports Ltd (ORBTEXP) a good buy?

On the numbers, Orbit Exports Ltd (ORBTEXP) screens weak, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing fairly valued at 15.3× earnings, ROE of 11.2%, a 47% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is ORBTEXP overvalued or undervalued?

ORBTEXP trades at 15.3× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the ORBTEXP share price target for 2031?

ORBTEXP's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹184, with an 80% range of ₹35-₹958 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability ORBTEXP doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of ORBTEXP reaching ₹475 (2×) within 5 years is 23%.

What is the bull case for ORBTEXP?

ORBTEXP's P/E of 15.3x is lower than 69% of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in ORBTEXP?

ORBTEXP's return on equity of 11.2% ranks in the 53rd percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (58%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on ORBTEXP

For information and education only. Downstox is a data and analytics platform, not a SEBI-registered Research Analyst or Investment Adviser. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Any scores, ranks, targets or scenarios are model estimates shown with their method, not forecasts or assured outcomes. Markets carry risk; do your own research and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.