ORIENTBELL
Orient Bell Ltd
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Orient Bell Ltd (ORIENTBELL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is ORIENTBELL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Orient Bell Ltd (ORIENTBELL) trades at ₹314,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.
On the numbers, Orient Bell Ltd (ORIENTBELL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 34.6× earnings, ROE of 4.1%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
ORIENTBELL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How ORIENTBELL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- ORIENTBELL's market cap of 462 Cr ranks in the 27th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ORIENTBELL's book value of ₹224 ranks in the 74th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ORIENTBELL's promoter holding of 65.9% ranks in the 65th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ORIENTBELL's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of -16.0% ranks in the 14th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ORIENTBELL's 3-year revenue growth of -1.0% ranks in the 22nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ORIENTBELL's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.09x is lower than 79% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is ORIENTBELL overvalued? ORIENTBELL P/E vs peers
ORIENTBELL trades at 34.6× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
ORIENTBELL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of ORIENTBELL history (7%/yr drift, 45%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORIENTBELL 2027 | ₹178 | ₹315 | ₹558 | +0% |
| ORIENTBELL 2028 | ₹141 | ₹317 | ₹714 | +1% |
| ORIENTBELL 2029 | ₹120 | ₹318 | ₹847 | +1% |
| ORIENTBELL 2030 | ₹100 | ₹320 | ₹1,018 | +2% |
| ORIENTBELL 2031 | ₹88 | ₹321 | ₹1,176 | +2% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability ORIENTBELL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for ORIENTBELL
- Low price-to-book of 1.40×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹847.
The bear case & risks
- ORIENTBELL's P/E of 34.6x is lower than 40% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ORIENTBELL's return on equity of 4.1% ranks in the 27th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹120.
ORIENTBELL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years ORIENTBELL compounded at 7%/year with annualized volatility of 45%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹178-₹558, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
ORIENTBELL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
ORIENTBELL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds ORIENTBELL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the ORIENTBELL price target & forecast page.
ORIENTBELL Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ORIENTBELL scores 4/8, mixed financial health.
Which ace investors hold ORIENTBELL?
Held by 1 tracked superstar investor (from public NSE/BSE disclosures):
About Orient Bell Ltd: sector, index & market-cap context
Orient Bell Ltd (ORIENTBELL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹462 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the ORIENTBELL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Orient Bell Ltd's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
ORIENTBELL analysis, FAQs
Is Orient Bell Ltd (ORIENTBELL) a good buy?
On the numbers, Orient Bell Ltd (ORIENTBELL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 34.6× earnings, ROE of 4.1%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is ORIENTBELL overvalued or undervalued?
ORIENTBELL trades at 34.6× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the ORIENTBELL share price target for 2031?
ORIENTBELL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹321, with an 80% range of ₹88-₹1,176 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability ORIENTBELL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of ORIENTBELL reaching ₹628 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.
What is the bull case for ORIENTBELL?
Low price-to-book of 1.40×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
What are the risks in ORIENTBELL?
ORIENTBELL's P/E of 34.6x is lower than 40% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. ORIENTBELL's return on equity of 4.1% ranks in the 27th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.