ORIENTCEM
Orient Cement Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Orient Cement Limited (ORIENTCEM) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is ORIENTCEM a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Orient Cement Limited (ORIENTCEM) trades at ₹137,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 65/100.
On the numbers, Orient Cement Limited (ORIENTCEM) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 65/100, weighing inexpensive at 13.2× earnings, ROE of 17.3%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
ORIENTCEM fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How ORIENTCEM ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- ORIENTCEM's market cap of 2,809 Cr ranks in the 56th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ORIENTCEM's book value of ₹104 ranks in the 53rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ORIENTCEM's promoter holding of 72.7% ranks in the 82nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ORIENTCEM's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 41.0% ranks in the 79th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ORIENTCEM's 3-year revenue growth of -2.0% ranks in the 20th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ORIENTCEM's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03x is lower than 90% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is ORIENTCEM overvalued? ORIENTCEM P/E vs peers
ORIENTCEM trades at 13.2× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
ORIENTCEM share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of ORIENTCEM history (-2%/yr drift, 35%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORIENTCEM 2027 | ₹92 | ₹144 | ₹224 | +5% |
| ORIENTCEM 2028 | ₹80 | ₹151 | ₹285 | +11% |
| ORIENTCEM 2029 | ₹72 | ₹159 | ₹351 | +16% |
| ORIENTCEM 2030 | ₹67 | ₹167 | ₹416 | +22% |
| ORIENTCEM 2031 | ₹65 | ₹176 | ₹476 | +29% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability ORIENTCEM goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for ORIENTCEM
- ORIENTCEM's P/E of 13.2x is lower than 79% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Low price-to-book of 1.32×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- ORIENTCEM's return on equity of 17.3% ranks in the 78th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹351.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹72.
ORIENTCEM volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years ORIENTCEM compounded at -2%/year with annualized volatility of 35%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹92-₹224, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
ORIENTCEM price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
ORIENTCEM price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds ORIENTCEM hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the ORIENTCEM price target & forecast page.
ORIENTCEM Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ORIENTCEM scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
ORIENTCEM MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ORIENTCEM with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.00% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 31.53% | 3.2× |
| Groww | 31.61% | 3.2× |
| Dhan | 40.00% | 2.5× |
| Kotak Neo | 34.97% | 2.9× |
| Paytm Money | 31.72% | 3.2× |
| Pocketful | 31.94% | 3.1× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 31.53% | 3.2× |
| Bajaj Broking | 38.00% | 2.6× |
| Share India | 31.61% | 3.2× |
Compare every broker on the ORIENTCEM MTF page.
About Orient Cement Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Orient Cement Limited (ORIENTCEM) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,809 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the ORIENTCEM Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Orient Cement Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
ORIENTCEM analysis, FAQs
Is Orient Cement Limited (ORIENTCEM) a good buy?
On the numbers, Orient Cement Limited (ORIENTCEM) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 65/100, weighing inexpensive at 13.2× earnings, ROE of 17.3%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is ORIENTCEM overvalued or undervalued?
ORIENTCEM trades at 13.2× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the ORIENTCEM share price target for 2031?
ORIENTCEM's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹176, with an 80% range of ₹65-₹476 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability ORIENTCEM doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of ORIENTCEM reaching ₹273 (2×) within 5 years is 29%.
What is the bull case for ORIENTCEM?
ORIENTCEM's P/E of 13.2x is lower than 79% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 1.32×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets. ORIENTCEM's return on equity of 17.3% ranks in the 78th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in ORIENTCEM?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.