Case study

ORIENTHOT

Oriental Hotels Limited

Tread carefully1y model +1.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

34Score

Oriental Hotels Limited (ORIENTHOT) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is ORIENTHOT a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Oriental Hotels Limited (ORIENTHOT) trades at ₹126,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 34/100.

On the numbers, Oriental Hotels Limited (ORIENTHOT) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 34/100, weighing premium at 33.6× earnings, ROE of 9.5%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

ORIENTHOT fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹2,255 Cr
Current price
₹126
P/E ratio
33.6×
P/B ratio
2.95×
Book value
₹43
Dividend yield
0.52%
ROCE
12.1%
ROE
9.5%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How ORIENTHOT ranks against the 2,374 companies in our screener

Is ORIENTHOT overvalued? ORIENTHOT P/E vs peers

ORIENTHOT trades at 33.6× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

ORIENTHOT share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of ORIENTHOT history (17%/yr drift, 46%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
ORIENTHOT 2027₹70₹127₹232+1%
ORIENTHOT 2028₹55₹129₹301+3%
ORIENTHOT 2029₹47₹131₹365+4%
ORIENTHOT 2030₹39₹132₹444+5%
ORIENTHOT 2031₹35₹134₹508+7%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability ORIENTHOT goes up, or doubles?

51%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
53%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
28%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹251 within 5 years

The bull case for ORIENTHOT

  • Oriental Hotels Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹365.

The bear case & risks

  • ORIENTHOT's P/E of 33.6x is lower than 41% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
  • ORIENTHOT's return on equity of 9.5% ranks in the 46th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹47.

ORIENTHOT volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years ORIENTHOT compounded at 17%/year with annualized volatility of 46%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹70-₹232, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

ORIENTHOT price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
1.3%
80% range₹70-₹232
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)7%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
3.9%
80% range₹47-₹365
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
6.6%
80% range₹35-₹508
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)28%

ORIENTHOT price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
ORIENTHOT simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds ORIENTHOT hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the ORIENTHOT price target & forecast page.

ORIENTHOT Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ORIENTHOT scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

ORIENTHOT MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ORIENTHOT with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox37.26%2.7×
Zerodha37.21%2.7×
Groww37.38%2.7×
Dhan40.00%2.5×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Paytm Money37.56%2.7×
PocketfulCHEAPEST36.19%2.8×
Anand Rathi37.21%2.7×
Bajaj Broking50.00%2.0×
Share India37.37%2.7×

Compare every broker on the ORIENTHOT MTF page.

About Oriental Hotels Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Oriental Hotels Limited (ORIENTHOT) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,255 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the ORIENTHOT Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Oriental Hotels Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

ORIENTHOT analysis, FAQs

Is Oriental Hotels Limited (ORIENTHOT) a good buy?

On the numbers, Oriental Hotels Limited (ORIENTHOT) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 34/100, weighing premium at 33.6× earnings, ROE of 9.5%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is ORIENTHOT overvalued or undervalued?

ORIENTHOT trades at 33.6× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the ORIENTHOT share price target for 2031?

ORIENTHOT's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹134, with an 80% range of ₹35-₹508 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability ORIENTHOT doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of ORIENTHOT reaching ₹251 (2×) within 5 years is 28%.

What is the bull case for ORIENTHOT?

Oriental Hotels Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in ORIENTHOT?

ORIENTHOT's P/E of 33.6x is lower than 41% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026. ORIENTHOT's return on equity of 9.5% ranks in the 46th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on ORIENTHOT