Case study

ORIENTPPR

Orient Paper & Industries Limited

Screens attractive1y model +0.6%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

76Score

Orient Paper & Industries Limited (ORIENTPPR) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is ORIENTPPR a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Orient Paper & Industries Limited (ORIENTPPR) trades at ₹19,on the numbers it screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 76/100.

On the numbers, Orient Paper & Industries Limited (ORIENTPPR) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 76/100, weighing inexpensive at 2.5× earnings, ROE of 22.1%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

ORIENTPPR fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹393 Cr
Current price
₹19
P/E ratio
2.5×
P/B ratio
0.48×
Book value
₹39
ROCE
22.2%
ROE
22.1%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How ORIENTPPR ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is ORIENTPPR overvalued? ORIENTPPR P/E vs peers

ORIENTPPR trades at 2.5× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

ORIENTPPR share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of ORIENTPPR history (-1%/yr drift, 40%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
ORIENTPPR 2027₹11₹19₹31+1%
ORIENTPPR 2028₹9₹19₹39+1%
ORIENTPPR 2029₹8₹19₹46+2%
ORIENTPPR 2030₹7₹19₹52+2%
ORIENTPPR 2031₹6₹19₹59+3%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability ORIENTPPR goes up, or doubles?

51%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
51%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
23%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹37 within 5 years

The bull case for ORIENTPPR

  • ORIENTPPR's P/E of 2.5x is lower than 96% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Low price-to-book of 0.48×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • ORIENTPPR's return on equity of 22.1% ranks in the 87th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • ORIENTPPR's return on capital employed of 22.2% ranks in the 85th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹46.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹8.

ORIENTPPR volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years ORIENTPPR compounded at -1%/year with annualized volatility of 40%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹11-₹31, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

ORIENTPPR price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
0.6%
80% range₹11-₹31
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)4%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
1.7%
80% range₹8-₹46
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)17%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
2.9%
80% range₹6-₹59
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)23%

ORIENTPPR price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
ORIENTPPR simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds ORIENTPPR hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the ORIENTPPR price target & forecast page.

ORIENTPPR Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ORIENTPPR scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

ORIENTPPR MTF margin & leverage across 2 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ORIENTPPR with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 2 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST33.67%3.0×

Compare every broker on the ORIENTPPR MTF page.

About Orient Paper & Industries Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Orient Paper & Industries Limited (ORIENTPPR) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹393 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the ORIENTPPR Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Orient Paper & Industries Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

ORIENTPPR analysis, FAQs

Is Orient Paper & Industries Limited (ORIENTPPR) a good buy?

On the numbers, Orient Paper & Industries Limited (ORIENTPPR) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 76/100, weighing inexpensive at 2.5× earnings, ROE of 22.1%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is ORIENTPPR overvalued or undervalued?

ORIENTPPR trades at 2.5× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the ORIENTPPR share price target for 2031?

ORIENTPPR's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹19, with an 80% range of ₹6-₹59 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability ORIENTPPR doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of ORIENTPPR reaching ₹37 (2×) within 5 years is 23%.

What is the bull case for ORIENTPPR?

ORIENTPPR's P/E of 2.5x is lower than 96% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 0.48×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets. ORIENTPPR's return on equity of 22.1% ranks in the 87th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in ORIENTPPR?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on ORIENTPPR