Case study

ORISSAMINE

The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited

Mixed signals1y model +4.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

45Score

The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited (ORISSAMINE) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is ORISSAMINE a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited (ORISSAMINE) trades at ₹4,405,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100.

On the numbers, The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited (ORISSAMINE) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100, weighing ROE of 1.0%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

ORISSAMINE fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹2,643 Cr
Current price
₹4,405
Book value
₹-91
ROCE
9.6%
ROE
1.0%
Piotroski F-Score
4/8

How ORISSAMINE ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for ORISSAMINE, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

ORISSAMINE share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of ORISSAMINE history (7%/yr drift, 41%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
ORISSAMINE 2027₹2,738₹4,597₹7,716+4%
ORISSAMINE 2028₹2,257₹4,797₹10,196+9%
ORISSAMINE 2029₹1,998₹5,005₹12,539+14%
ORISSAMINE 2030₹1,794₹5,223₹15,204+19%
ORISSAMINE 2031₹1,713₹5,450₹17,345+24%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability ORISSAMINE goes up, or doubles?

54%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
59%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
30%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹8,810 within 5 years

The bull case for ORISSAMINE

  • The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹12,539.

The bear case & risks

  • ORISSAMINE's return on equity of 1.0% ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,998.

ORISSAMINE volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years ORISSAMINE compounded at 7%/year with annualized volatility of 41%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹2,738-₹7,716, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

ORISSAMINE price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
4.3%
80% range₹2,738-₹7,716
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)6%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
13.6%
80% range₹1,998-₹12,539
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)21%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
23.7%
80% range₹1,713-₹17,345
P(price ↑)59%
P(price 2×)30%

ORISSAMINE price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
ORISSAMINE simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds ORISSAMINE hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the ORISSAMINE price target & forecast page.

ORISSAMINE Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?

4/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ORISSAMINE scores 4/8, mixed financial health.

ORISSAMINE MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ORISSAMINE with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.10%2.8×
Zerodha35.08%2.9×
Groww35.13%2.8×
Dhan40.00%2.5×
Kotak Neo50.00%2.0×
Paytm Money50.10%2.0×
Pocketful35.12%2.8×
Anand Rathi35.08%2.9×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST35.03%2.9×

Compare every broker on the ORISSAMINE MTF page.

About The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited (ORISSAMINE) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,643 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the ORISSAMINE Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

ORISSAMINE analysis, FAQs

Is The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited (ORISSAMINE) a good buy?

On the numbers, The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited (ORISSAMINE) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100, weighing ROE of 1.0%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is ORISSAMINE overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation ratios for ORISSAMINE are tracked live on Downstox.

What is the ORISSAMINE share price target for 2031?

ORISSAMINE's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹5,450, with an 80% range of ₹1,713-₹17,345 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability ORISSAMINE doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of ORISSAMINE reaching ₹8,810 (2×) within 5 years is 30%.

What is the bull case for ORISSAMINE?

The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in ORISSAMINE?

ORISSAMINE's return on equity of 1.0% ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on ORISSAMINE