Case study

PANAMAPET

Panama Petrochem Limited

Worth a closer look1y model +1.6%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

69Score

Panama Petrochem Limited (PANAMAPET) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is PANAMAPET a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Panama Petrochem Limited (PANAMAPET) trades at ₹505,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 69/100.

On the numbers, Panama Petrochem Limited (PANAMAPET) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 69/100, weighing inexpensive at 14.4× earnings, ROE of 15.6%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

PANAMAPET fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹3,054 Cr
Current price
₹505
P/E ratio
14.4×
P/B ratio
2.08×
Book value
₹243
Dividend yield
0.59%
ROCE
19.2%
ROE
15.6%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How PANAMAPET ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is PANAMAPET overvalued? PANAMAPET P/E vs peers

PANAMAPET trades at 14.4× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

PANAMAPET share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of PANAMAPET history (30%/yr drift, 42%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
PANAMAPET 2027₹298₹513₹883+2%
PANAMAPET 2028₹244₹521₹1,112+3%
PANAMAPET 2029₹206₹529₹1,360+5%
PANAMAPET 2030₹180₹537₹1,603+6%
PANAMAPET 2031₹161₹546₹1,851+8%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability PANAMAPET goes up, or doubles?

51%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
54%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
26%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,010 within 5 years

The bull case for PANAMAPET

  • PANAMAPET's P/E of 14.4x is lower than 76% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • PANAMAPET's return on equity of 15.6% ranks in the 73rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • PANAMAPET's return on capital employed of 19.2% ranks in the 78th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,360.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹206.

PANAMAPET volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years PANAMAPET compounded at 30%/year with annualized volatility of 42%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹298-₹883, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

PANAMAPET price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
1.6%
80% range₹298-₹883
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)5%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
4.8%
80% range₹206-₹1,360
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)19%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
8.1%
80% range₹161-₹1,851
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)26%

PANAMAPET price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
PANAMAPET simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds PANAMAPET hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the PANAMAPET price target & forecast page.

PANAMAPET Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. PANAMAPET scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

PANAMAPET MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy PANAMAPET with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox38.14%2.6×
Zerodha38.10%2.6×
Groww38.14%2.6×
Dhan40.00%2.5×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Paytm Money38.14%2.6×
Pocketful50.00%2.0×
Anand Rathi38.10%2.6×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST37.89%2.6×

Compare every broker on the PANAMAPET MTF page.

About Panama Petrochem Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Panama Petrochem Limited (PANAMAPET) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹3,054 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the PANAMAPET Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Panama Petrochem Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

PANAMAPET analysis, FAQs

Is Panama Petrochem Limited (PANAMAPET) a good buy?

On the numbers, Panama Petrochem Limited (PANAMAPET) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 69/100, weighing inexpensive at 14.4× earnings, ROE of 15.6%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is PANAMAPET overvalued or undervalued?

PANAMAPET trades at 14.4× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the PANAMAPET share price target for 2031?

PANAMAPET's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹546, with an 80% range of ₹161-₹1,851 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability PANAMAPET doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of PANAMAPET reaching ₹1,010 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.

What is the bull case for PANAMAPET?

PANAMAPET's P/E of 14.4x is lower than 76% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. PANAMAPET's return on equity of 15.6% ranks in the 73rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. PANAMAPET's return on capital employed of 19.2% ranks in the 78th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in PANAMAPET?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on PANAMAPET