PARADEEP
Paradeep Phosphates Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Paradeep Phosphates Limited (PARADEEP) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is PARADEEP a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Paradeep Phosphates Limited (PARADEEP) trades at ₹149,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 67/100.
On the numbers, Paradeep Phosphates Limited (PARADEEP) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 67/100, weighing inexpensive at 14.3× earnings, ROE of 18.9%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
PARADEEP fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How PARADEEP ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- PARADEEP's market cap of 15,515 Cr ranks in the 81st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- PARADEEP's book value of ₹65 ranks in the 40th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- PARADEEP's promoter holding of 57.9% ranks in the 47th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- PARADEEP's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 48.0% ranks in the 83rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- PARADEEP's 3-year revenue growth of 18.0% ranks in the 69th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- PARADEEP's debt-to-equity ratio of 1.02x is lower than 14% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is PARADEEP overvalued? PARADEEP P/E vs peers
PARADEEP trades at 14.3× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
PARADEEP share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 4.1y of PARADEEP history (30%/yr drift, 47%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARADEEP 2027 | ₹82 | ₹151 | ₹277 | +1% |
| PARADEEP 2028 | ₹64 | ₹152 | ₹359 | +2% |
| PARADEEP 2029 | ₹53 | ₹153 | ₹446 | +3% |
| PARADEEP 2030 | ₹45 | ₹155 | ₹529 | +3% |
| PARADEEP 2031 | ₹39 | ₹156 | ₹625 | +4% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability PARADEEP goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for PARADEEP
- PARADEEP's P/E of 14.3x is lower than 76% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- PARADEEP's return on equity of 18.9% ranks in the 81st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹446.
The bear case & risks
- High historical volatility (47%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹53.
PARADEEP volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 4.1 years PARADEEP compounded at 30%/year with annualized volatility of 47%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹82-₹277, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
PARADEEP price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
PARADEEP price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds PARADEEP hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the PARADEEP price target & forecast page.
PARADEEP Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. PARADEEP scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
PARADEEP MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy PARADEEP with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.94% | 2.8× |
| Zerodha | 35.89% | 2.8× |
| Groww | 36.10% | 2.8× |
| Dhan | 35.89% | 2.8× |
| Kotak Neo | 35.84% | 2.8× |
| Paytm Money | 36.10% | 2.8× |
| PocketfulCHEAPEST | 35.54% | 2.8× |
| Anand Rathi | 35.89% | 2.8× |
| Bajaj Broking | 39.00% | 2.6× |
| Share India | 36.07% | 2.8× |
Compare every broker on the PARADEEP MTF page.
About Paradeep Phosphates Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Paradeep Phosphates Limited (PARADEEP) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹15,515 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the PARADEEP Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Paradeep Phosphates Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
PARADEEP analysis, FAQs
Is Paradeep Phosphates Limited (PARADEEP) a good buy?
On the numbers, Paradeep Phosphates Limited (PARADEEP) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 67/100, weighing inexpensive at 14.3× earnings, ROE of 18.9%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is PARADEEP overvalued or undervalued?
PARADEEP trades at 14.3× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the PARADEEP share price target for 2031?
PARADEEP's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹156, with an 80% range of ₹39-₹625 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability PARADEEP doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of PARADEEP reaching ₹299 (2×) within 5 years is 27%.
What is the bull case for PARADEEP?
PARADEEP's P/E of 14.3x is lower than 76% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. PARADEEP's return on equity of 18.9% ranks in the 81st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in PARADEEP?
High historical volatility (47%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.