PARAS
Paras Defence and Space Technologies
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Paras Defence and Space Technologies (PARAS) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is PARAS a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.
On the numbers, Paras Defence and Space Technologies (PARAS) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing a 35% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
PARAS share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of PARAS history (0%/yr drift, 72%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARAS 2027 | ₹434 | ₹1,068 | ₹2,691 | -24% |
| PARAS 2028 | ₹233 | ₹822 | ₹3,040 | -42% |
| PARAS 2029 | ₹132 | ₹639 | ₹3,155 | -55% |
| PARAS 2030 | ₹80 | ₹493 | ₹3,126 | -65% |
| PARAS 2031 | ₹50 | ₹380 | ₹3,001 | -73% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability PARAS goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for PARAS
- Paras Defence and Space Technologies is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,155.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 35% chance of finishing above today's price.
- High historical volatility (72%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹132.
PARAS volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years PARAS compounded at 0%/year with annualized volatility of 72%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹434–₹2,691, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
PARAS price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
PARAS price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds PARAS hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the PARAS price target & forecast page.
PARAS MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy PARAS with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 40.4% | 2.5× |
| GrowwCHEAPEST | 40.4% | 2.5× |
| Dhan | 64.0% | 1.6× |
Compare every broker on the PARAS MTF page.
PARAS vs peers,sector comparison
About Paras Defence and Space Technologies: sector, index & market-cap context
Paras Defence and Space Technologies (PARAS) is an NSE-listed company.
How the PARAS Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Paras Defence and Space Technologies's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
PARAS analysis, FAQs
Is Paras Defence and Space Technologies (PARAS) a good buy?
On the numbers, Paras Defence and Space Technologies (PARAS) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing a 35% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is PARAS overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for PARAS are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the PARAS share price target for 2031?
PARAS's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹380, with an 80% range of ₹50–₹3,001 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability PARAS doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of PARAS reaching ₹2,817 (2×) within 5 years is 11%.
What is the bull case for PARAS?
Paras Defence and Space Technologies is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in PARAS?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 35% chance of finishing above today's price. High historical volatility (72%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.