PATANJALI
PATANJALI FOODS LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
PATANJALI FOODS LIMITED (PATANJALI) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is PATANJALI a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
PATANJALI FOODS LIMITED (PATANJALI) trades at ₹418,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100.
On the numbers, PATANJALI FOODS LIMITED (PATANJALI) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing fairly valued at 22.6× earnings, ROE of 16.5%, a 33% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
PATANJALI fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is PATANJALI overvalued? PATANJALI P/E vs its sector
PATANJALI's P/E of 22.6× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.84% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
PATANJALI share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of PATANJALI history (-7%/yr drift, 25%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PATANJALI 2027 | ₹275 | ₹377 | ₹523 | -11% |
| PATANJALI 2028 | ₹216 | ₹339 | ₹534 | -20% |
| PATANJALI 2029 | ₹174 | ₹306 | ₹535 | -27% |
| PATANJALI 2030 | ₹145 | ₹275 | ₹523 | -35% |
| PATANJALI 2031 | ₹121 | ₹251 | ₹517 | -40% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability PATANJALI goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for PATANJALI
- A 22.6× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
- A healthy 16.5% return on equity.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹535.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 33% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹174.
PATANJALI volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years PATANJALI compounded at -7%/year with annualized volatility of 25%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹275–₹523, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
PATANJALI price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
PATANJALI price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds PATANJALI hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the PATANJALI price target & forecast page.
PATANJALI Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. PATANJALI scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
PATANJALI MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy PATANJALI with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 27.5% | 3.6× |
| Zerodha | 23.5% | 4.3× |
| Groww | 23.5% | 4.3× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 23.0% | 4.3× |
Compare every broker on the PATANJALI MTF page.
PATANJALI vs peers,sector comparison
About PATANJALI FOODS LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
PATANJALI FOODS LIMITED (PATANJALI) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹45,483 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.
How the PATANJALI Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of PATANJALI FOODS LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
PATANJALI analysis, FAQs
Is PATANJALI FOODS LIMITED (PATANJALI) a good buy?
On the numbers, PATANJALI FOODS LIMITED (PATANJALI) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing fairly valued at 22.6× earnings, ROE of 16.5%, a 33% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is PATANJALI overvalued or undervalued?
PATANJALI trades at 22.6× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the PATANJALI share price target for 2031?
PATANJALI's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹251, with an 80% range of ₹121–₹517 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability PATANJALI doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of PATANJALI reaching ₹843 (2×) within 5 years is 1%.
What is the bull case for PATANJALI?
A 22.6× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. A healthy 16.5% return on equity.
What are the risks in PATANJALI?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 33% chance of finishing above today's price.