Case study

PATANJALI

PATANJALI FOODS LIMITED

Worth a closer look1y model +9.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

65Score

PATANJALI FOODS LIMITED (PATANJALI) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is PATANJALI a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

PATANJALI FOODS LIMITED (PATANJALI) trades at ₹358,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 65/100.

On the numbers, PATANJALI FOODS LIMITED (PATANJALI) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 65/100, weighing fairly valued at 19.3× earnings, ROE of 16.5%, a 64% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

PATANJALI fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹38,900 Cr
Current price
₹358
P/E ratio
19.3×
P/B ratio
2.98×
Book value
₹120
Dividend yield
0.98%
ROCE
12.0%
ROE
16.5%
Piotroski F-Score
4/8

How PATANJALI ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is PATANJALI overvalued? PATANJALI P/E vs peers

PATANJALI trades at 19.3× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

PATANJALI share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of PATANJALI history (22%/yr drift, 26%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
PATANJALI 2027₹279₹391₹548+9%
PATANJALI 2028₹266₹428₹689+20%
PATANJALI 2029₹261₹468₹842+31%
PATANJALI 2030₹261₹513₹1,008+43%
PATANJALI 2031₹266₹561₹1,184+57%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability PATANJALI goes up, or doubles?

64%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
78%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
35%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹715 within 5 years

The bull case for PATANJALI

  • PATANJALI's P/E of 19.3x is lower than 64% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • PATANJALI's return on equity of 16.5% ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 64% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹391 (+9%).
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹842.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹261.

PATANJALI volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years PATANJALI compounded at 22%/year with annualized volatility of 26%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹279-₹548, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

PATANJALI price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
9.4%
80% range₹279-₹548
P(price ↑)64%
P(price 2×)1%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
31.0%
80% range₹261-₹842
P(price ↑)72%
P(price 2×)18%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
56.9%
80% range₹266-₹1,184
P(price ↑)78%
P(price 2×)35%

PATANJALI price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
PATANJALI simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds PATANJALI hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the PATANJALI price target & forecast page.

PATANJALI Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?

4/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. PATANJALI scores 4/8, mixed financial health.

PATANJALI MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy PATANJALI with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST25.10%4.0×
Groww25.12%4.0×
Dhan42.00%2.4×
Kotak Neo34.97%2.9×
Paytm Money50.00%2.0×
Pocketful29.55%3.4×
Anand Rathi35.00%2.9×
Share India29.51%3.4×

Compare every broker on the PATANJALI MTF page.

About PATANJALI FOODS LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

PATANJALI FOODS LIMITED (PATANJALI) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹38,900 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the PATANJALI Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of PATANJALI FOODS LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

PATANJALI analysis, FAQs

Is PATANJALI FOODS LIMITED (PATANJALI) a good buy?

On the numbers, PATANJALI FOODS LIMITED (PATANJALI) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 65/100, weighing fairly valued at 19.3× earnings, ROE of 16.5%, a 64% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is PATANJALI overvalued or undervalued?

PATANJALI trades at 19.3× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the PATANJALI share price target for 2031?

PATANJALI's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹561, with an 80% range of ₹266-₹1,184 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability PATANJALI doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of PATANJALI reaching ₹715 (2×) within 5 years is 35%.

What is the bull case for PATANJALI?

PATANJALI's P/E of 19.3x is lower than 64% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. PATANJALI's return on equity of 16.5% ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 64% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹391 (+9%).

What are the risks in PATANJALI?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on PATANJALI