Case study

PCJEWELLER

PC Jeweller Ltd.

Mixed signals1y model -1.8%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

52Score

PC Jeweller Ltd. (PCJEWELLER) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is PCJEWELLER a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

PC Jeweller Ltd. (PCJEWELLER) trades at ₹10,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100.

On the numbers, PC Jeweller Ltd. (PCJEWELLER) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing inexpensive at 13.3× earnings, ROE of 10.0%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

PCJEWELLER fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹9,528 Cr
Current price
₹10
P/E ratio
13.3×
P/B ratio
1.03×
Book value
₹9
ROCE
9.6%
ROE
10.0%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How PCJEWELLER ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is PCJEWELLER overvalued? PCJEWELLER P/E vs peers

PCJEWELLER trades at 13.3× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

PCJEWELLER share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of PCJEWELLER history (-8%/yr drift, 52%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
PCJEWELLER 2027₹5₹10₹19-2%
PCJEWELLER 2028₹4₹9₹25-4%
PCJEWELLER 2029₹3₹9₹30-5%
PCJEWELLER 2030₹2₹9₹35-7%
PCJEWELLER 2031₹2₹9₹39-9%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability PCJEWELLER goes up, or doubles?

48%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
47%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
25%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹20 within 5 years

The bull case for PCJEWELLER

  • PCJEWELLER's P/E of 13.3x is lower than 79% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Low price-to-book of 1.03×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹30.

The bear case & risks

  • PCJEWELLER's return on equity of 10.0% ranks in the 48th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (52%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹3.

PCJEWELLER volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years PCJEWELLER compounded at -8%/year with annualized volatility of 52%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹5-₹19, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

PCJEWELLER price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
1.8%
80% range₹5-₹19
P(price ↑)48%
P(price 2×)9%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
5.3%
80% range₹3-₹30
P(price ↑)48%
P(price 2×)21%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
8.7%
80% range₹2-₹39
P(price ↑)47%
P(price 2×)25%

PCJEWELLER price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
PCJEWELLER simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds PCJEWELLER hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the PCJEWELLER price target & forecast page.

PCJEWELLER Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. PCJEWELLER scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

PCJEWELLER MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy PCJEWELLER with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox38.14%2.6×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST38.09%2.6×
Groww60.00%1.7×
DhanCHEAPEST38.09%2.6×
Kotak Neo50.00%2.0×
Paytm Money38.14%2.6×
Pocketful38.40%2.6×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST38.09%2.6×
Share India38.28%2.6×

Compare every broker on the PCJEWELLER MTF page.

About PC Jeweller Ltd.: sector, index & market-cap context

PC Jeweller Ltd. (PCJEWELLER) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹9,528 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the PCJEWELLER Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of PC Jeweller Ltd.'s public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

PCJEWELLER analysis, FAQs

Is PC Jeweller Ltd. (PCJEWELLER) a good buy?

On the numbers, PC Jeweller Ltd. (PCJEWELLER) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing inexpensive at 13.3× earnings, ROE of 10.0%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is PCJEWELLER overvalued or undervalued?

PCJEWELLER trades at 13.3× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the PCJEWELLER share price target for 2031?

PCJEWELLER's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹9, with an 80% range of ₹2-₹39 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability PCJEWELLER doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of PCJEWELLER reaching ₹20 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.

What is the bull case for PCJEWELLER?

PCJEWELLER's P/E of 13.3x is lower than 79% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 1.03×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.

What are the risks in PCJEWELLER?

PCJEWELLER's return on equity of 10.0% ranks in the 48th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (52%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on PCJEWELLER