Case study

PDSL

PDS Limited

Tread carefully1y model +6.9%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

33Score

PDS Limited (PDSL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is PDSL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

PDS Limited (PDSL) trades at ₹362,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.

On the numbers, PDS Limited (PDSL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 43.6× earnings, ROE of 6.5%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

PDSL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹5,118 Cr
Current price
₹362
P/E ratio
43.6×
P/B ratio
2.90×
Book value
₹125
Dividend yield
0.91%
ROCE
12.5%
ROE
6.5%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How PDSL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is PDSL overvalued? PDSL P/E vs peers

PDSL trades at 43.6× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

PDSL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of PDSL history (24%/yr drift, 38%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
PDSL 2027₹234₹387₹640+7%
PDSL 2028₹205₹414₹834+14%
PDSL 2029₹188₹442₹1,039+22%
PDSL 2030₹177₹473₹1,260+31%
PDSL 2031₹169₹505₹1,512+40%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability PDSL goes up, or doubles?

57%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
65%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
34%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹724 within 5 years

The bull case for PDSL

  • PDS Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,039.

The bear case & risks

  • PDSL's P/E of 43.6x is lower than 30% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • PDSL's return on equity of 6.5% ranks in the 35th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹188.

PDSL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years PDSL compounded at 24%/year with annualized volatility of 38%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹234-₹640, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

PDSL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
6.9%
80% range₹234-₹640
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)5%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
22.2%
80% range₹188-₹1,039
P(price ↑)62%
P(price 2×)23%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
39.6%
80% range₹169-₹1,512
P(price ↑)65%
P(price 2×)34%

PDSL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
PDSL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds PDSL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the PDSL price target & forecast page.

PDSL Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. PDSL scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

PDSL MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy PDSL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST33.72%3.0×
Groww33.88%3.0×
DhanCHEAPEST33.72%3.0×
Kotak Neo40.00%2.5×
Paytm Money33.88%3.0×
Pocketful34.05%2.9×
Fyers34.48%2.9×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST33.72%3.0×
Bajaj Broking40.00%2.5×
Share India33.86%3.0×

Compare every broker on the PDSL MTF page.

About PDS Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

PDS Limited (PDSL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹5,118 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the PDSL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of PDS Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

PDSL analysis, FAQs

Is PDS Limited (PDSL) a good buy?

On the numbers, PDS Limited (PDSL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 43.6× earnings, ROE of 6.5%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is PDSL overvalued or undervalued?

PDSL trades at 43.6× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the PDSL share price target for 2031?

PDSL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹505, with an 80% range of ₹169-₹1,512 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability PDSL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of PDSL reaching ₹724 (2×) within 5 years is 34%.

What is the bull case for PDSL?

PDS Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in PDSL?

PDSL's P/E of 43.6x is lower than 30% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. PDSL's return on equity of 6.5% ranks in the 35th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on PDSL