PENIND
Pennar Industries Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Pennar Industries Limited (PENIND) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is PENIND a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Pennar Industries Limited (PENIND) trades at ₹160,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100.
On the numbers, Pennar Industries Limited (PENIND) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing fairly valued at 15.6× earnings, ROE of 12.8%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
PENIND fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How PENIND ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- PENIND's market cap of 2,166 Cr ranks in the 52nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- PENIND's book value of ₹86 ranks in the 47th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- PENIND's promoter holding of 39.7% ranks in the 16th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- PENIND's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 23.0% ranks in the 60th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- PENIND's 3-year revenue growth of 8.0% ranks in the 44th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- PENIND's debt-to-equity ratio of 1.00x is lower than 15% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is PENIND overvalued? PENIND P/E vs peers
PENIND trades at 15.6× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
PENIND share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of PENIND history (13%/yr drift, 51%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PENIND 2027 | ₹83 | ₹160 | ₹308 | +0% |
| PENIND 2028 | ₹63 | ₹160 | ₹405 | +0% |
| PENIND 2029 | ₹52 | ₹160 | ₹496 | +0% |
| PENIND 2030 | ₹43 | ₹161 | ₹596 | +0% |
| PENIND 2031 | ₹38 | ₹161 | ₹687 | +1% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability PENIND goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for PENIND
- PENIND's P/E of 15.6x is lower than 72% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- PENIND's return on equity of 12.8% ranks in the 63rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹496.
The bear case & risks
- High historical volatility (51%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹52.
PENIND volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years PENIND compounded at 13%/year with annualized volatility of 51%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹83-₹308, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
PENIND price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
PENIND price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds PENIND hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the PENIND price target & forecast page.
PENIND Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. PENIND scores 4/8, mixed financial health.
PENIND MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy PENIND with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 37.92% | 2.6× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 37.88% | 2.6× |
| Groww | 38.07% | 2.6× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 37.88% | 2.6× |
| Kotak NeoCHEAPEST | 37.88% | 2.6× |
| Paytm Money | 38.32% | 2.6× |
| Pocketful | 38.67% | 2.6× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 37.88% | 2.6× |
| Bajaj Broking | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Share India | 38.05% | 2.6× |
Compare every broker on the PENIND MTF page.
About Pennar Industries Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Pennar Industries Limited (PENIND) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,166 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the PENIND Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Pennar Industries Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
PENIND analysis, FAQs
Is Pennar Industries Limited (PENIND) a good buy?
On the numbers, Pennar Industries Limited (PENIND) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing fairly valued at 15.6× earnings, ROE of 12.8%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is PENIND overvalued or undervalued?
PENIND trades at 15.6× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the PENIND share price target for 2031?
PENIND's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹161, with an 80% range of ₹38-₹687 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability PENIND doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of PENIND reaching ₹320 (2×) within 5 years is 27%.
What is the bull case for PENIND?
PENIND's P/E of 15.6x is lower than 72% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. PENIND's return on equity of 12.8% ranks in the 63rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in PENIND?
High historical volatility (51%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.