Case study

PFOCUS

PRIME FOCUS LIMITED

High-risk on the numbers1y model -2.7%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

28Score

PRIME FOCUS LIMITED (PFOCUS) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is PFOCUS a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

PRIME FOCUS LIMITED (PFOCUS) trades at ₹288,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100.

On the numbers, PRIME FOCUS LIMITED (PFOCUS) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 125.0× earnings, ROE of 16.5%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

PFOCUS fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹22,398 Cr
Current price
₹288
P/E ratio
125.0×
P/B ratio
10.71×
Book value
₹27
ROCE
11.5%
ROE
16.5%
Piotroski F-Score
3/8

How PFOCUS ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold a 3-year revenue growth figure for PFOCUS, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

Is PFOCUS overvalued? PFOCUS P/E vs peers

PFOCUS trades at 125.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

PFOCUS share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of PFOCUS history (14%/yr drift, 55%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
PFOCUS 2027₹141₹280₹557-3%
PFOCUS 2028₹104₹272₹712-5%
PFOCUS 2029₹80₹265₹873-8%
PFOCUS 2030₹66₹258₹1,013-10%
PFOCUS 2031₹55₹251₹1,138-13%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability PFOCUS goes up, or doubles?

48%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
46%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
24%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹575 within 5 years

The bull case for PFOCUS

  • PFOCUS's return on equity of 16.5% ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹873.

The bear case & risks

  • PFOCUS's P/E of 125.0x is lower than 8% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A steep 10.7× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • PFOCUS's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (55%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹80.

PFOCUS volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years PFOCUS compounded at 14%/year with annualized volatility of 55%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹141-₹557, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

PFOCUS price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
2.7%
80% range₹141-₹557
P(price ↑)48%
P(price 2×)9%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
7.8%
80% range₹80-₹873
P(price ↑)46%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
12.7%
80% range₹55-₹1,138
P(price ↑)46%
P(price 2×)24%

PFOCUS price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
PFOCUS simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds PFOCUS hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the PFOCUS price target & forecast page.

PFOCUS Piotroski F-Score: 3/8, how financially strong is it?

3/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. PFOCUS scores 3/8, weak on the financial-strength checks.

PFOCUS MTF margin & leverage across 4 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy PFOCUS with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 4 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST41.16%2.4×
Groww41.31%2.4×
Paytm Money41.36%2.4×
Share India41.31%2.4×

Compare every broker on the PFOCUS MTF page.

About PRIME FOCUS LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

PRIME FOCUS LIMITED (PFOCUS) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹22,398 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the PFOCUS Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of PRIME FOCUS LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

PFOCUS analysis, FAQs

Is PRIME FOCUS LIMITED (PFOCUS) a good buy?

On the numbers, PRIME FOCUS LIMITED (PFOCUS) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 125.0× earnings, ROE of 16.5%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is PFOCUS overvalued or undervalued?

PFOCUS trades at 125.0× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the PFOCUS share price target for 2031?

PFOCUS's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹251, with an 80% range of ₹55-₹1,138 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability PFOCUS doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of PFOCUS reaching ₹575 (2×) within 5 years is 24%.

What is the bull case for PFOCUS?

PFOCUS's return on equity of 16.5% ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in PFOCUS?

PFOCUS's P/E of 125.0x is lower than 8% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 10.7× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. PFOCUS's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on PFOCUS