PGEL
PG Electroplast
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
PG Electroplast (PGEL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is PGEL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
PG Electroplast (PGEL) trades at ₹568,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100.
On the numbers, PG Electroplast (PGEL) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 82.5× earnings, ROE of 6.7%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
PGEL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is PGEL overvalued? PGEL P/E vs its sector
PGEL's P/E of 82.5× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.04% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
PGEL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of PGEL history (27%/yr drift, 57%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PGEL 2027 | ₹306 | ₹630 | ₹1,304 | +12% |
| PGEL 2028 | ₹248 | ₹706 | ₹1,970 | +26% |
| PGEL 2029 | ₹222 | ₹786 | ₹2,756 | +40% |
| PGEL 2030 | ₹196 | ₹866 | ₹3,668 | +54% |
| PGEL 2031 | ₹182 | ₹973 | ₹4,830 | +74% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability PGEL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for PGEL
- PG Electroplast is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,756.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 82.5× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- Return on equity is a soft 6.7%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- High historical volatility (57%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹222.
PGEL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years PGEL compounded at 27%/year with annualized volatility of 57%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹306–₹1,304, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
PGEL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
PGEL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds PGEL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the PGEL price target & forecast page.
PGEL Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. PGEL scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
PGEL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy PGEL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 39.6% | 2.5× |
| Zerodha | 33.8% | 3.0× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 32.6% | 3.1× |
Compare every broker on the PGEL MTF page.
PGEL vs peers,sector comparison
About PG Electroplast: sector, index & market-cap context
PG Electroplast (PGEL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹16,220 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the PGEL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of PG Electroplast's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
PGEL analysis, FAQs
Is PG Electroplast (PGEL) a good buy?
On the numbers, PG Electroplast (PGEL) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 82.5× earnings, ROE of 6.7%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is PGEL overvalued or undervalued?
PGEL trades at 82.5× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the PGEL share price target for 2031?
PGEL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹973, with an 80% range of ₹182–₹4,830 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability PGEL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of PGEL reaching ₹1,121 (2×) within 5 years is 45%.
What is the bull case for PGEL?
PG Electroplast is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in PGEL?
A rich 82.5× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 6.7%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. High historical volatility (57%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.