Case study

PGEL

Pg Electroplast Limited

High-risk on the numbers1y model +0.1%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

28Score

Pg Electroplast Limited (PGEL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is PGEL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Pg Electroplast Limited (PGEL) trades at ₹631,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100.

On the numbers, Pg Electroplast Limited (PGEL) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 87.9× earnings, ROE of 6.7%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

PGEL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹18,084 Cr
Current price
₹631
P/E ratio
87.9×
P/B ratio
5.90×
Book value
₹107
Dividend yield
0.04%
ROCE
10.3%
ROE
6.7%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How PGEL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is PGEL overvalued? PGEL P/E vs peers

PGEL trades at 87.9× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

PGEL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of PGEL history (37%/yr drift, 55%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
PGEL 2027₹312₹632₹1,277+0%
PGEL 2028₹230₹632₹1,738+0%
PGEL 2029₹184₹633₹2,179+0%
PGEL 2030₹151₹634₹2,655+1%
PGEL 2031₹127₹635₹3,184+1%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability PGEL goes up, or doubles?

50%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
50%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
29%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,261 within 5 years

The bull case for PGEL

  • Pg Electroplast Limited is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,179.

The bear case & risks

  • PGEL's P/E of 87.9x is lower than 13% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • PGEL's return on equity of 6.7% ranks in the 35th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (55%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹184.

PGEL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years PGEL compounded at 37%/year with annualized volatility of 55%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹312-₹1,277, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

PGEL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
0.1%
80% range₹312-₹1,277
P(price ↑)50%
P(price 2×)11%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
0.4%
80% range₹184-₹2,179
P(price ↑)50%
P(price 2×)24%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
0.7%
80% range₹127-₹3,184
P(price ↑)50%
P(price 2×)29%

PGEL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
PGEL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds PGEL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the PGEL price target & forecast page.

PGEL Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. PGEL scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

PGEL MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy PGEL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox34.90%2.9×
Zerodha32.70%3.1×
Groww32.86%3.0×
DhanCHEAPEST31.41%3.2×
Kotak Neo31.45%3.2×
Paytm Money31.77%3.1×
Pocketful38.90%2.6×
Anand Rathi38.41%2.6×
Bajaj Broking40.00%2.5×
Share India38.55%2.6×

Compare every broker on the PGEL MTF page.

About Pg Electroplast Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Pg Electroplast Limited (PGEL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹18,084 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the PGEL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Pg Electroplast Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

PGEL analysis, FAQs

Is Pg Electroplast Limited (PGEL) a good buy?

On the numbers, Pg Electroplast Limited (PGEL) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 87.9× earnings, ROE of 6.7%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is PGEL overvalued or undervalued?

PGEL trades at 87.9× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the PGEL share price target for 2031?

PGEL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹635, with an 80% range of ₹127-₹3,184 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability PGEL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of PGEL reaching ₹1,261 (2×) within 5 years is 29%.

What is the bull case for PGEL?

Pg Electroplast Limited is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in PGEL?

PGEL's P/E of 87.9x is lower than 13% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. PGEL's return on equity of 6.7% ranks in the 35th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (55%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on PGEL