PGIL
Pearl Global Industries
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Pearl Global Industries (PGIL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is PGIL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100.
On the numbers, Pearl Global Industries (PGIL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100, weighing a 73% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
PGIL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of PGIL history (51%/yr drift, 57%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PGIL 2027 | ₹1,222 | ₹2,545 | ₹5,286 | +42% |
| PGIL 2028 | ₹1,283 | ₹3,594 | ₹10,145 | +100% |
| PGIL 2029 | ₹1,474 | ₹5,144 | ₹17,836 | +187% |
| PGIL 2030 | ₹1,733 | ₹7,289 | ₹30,638 | +306% |
| PGIL 2031 | ₹2,038 | ₹10,307 | ₹51,564 | +475% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability PGIL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for PGIL
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 73% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹2,545 (+42%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹17,836.
The bear case & risks
- High historical volatility (57%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,474.
PGIL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years PGIL compounded at 51%/year with annualized volatility of 57%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,222–₹5,286, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
PGIL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
PGIL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds PGIL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the PGIL price target & forecast page.
PGIL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy PGIL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 39.3% | 2.5× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 39.3% | 2.5× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 39.3% | 2.5× |
Compare every broker on the PGIL MTF page.
PGIL vs peers,sector comparison
About Pearl Global Industries: sector, index & market-cap context
Pearl Global Industries (PGIL) is an NSE-listed company.
How the PGIL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Pearl Global Industries's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
PGIL analysis, FAQs
Is Pearl Global Industries (PGIL) a good buy?
On the numbers, Pearl Global Industries (PGIL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100, weighing a 73% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is PGIL overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for PGIL are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the PGIL share price target for 2031?
PGIL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹10,307, with an 80% range of ₹2,038–₹51,564 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability PGIL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of PGIL reaching ₹3,587 (2×) within 5 years is 79%.
What is the bull case for PGIL?
A 10,000-path probability model puts a 73% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹2,545 (+42%).
What are the risks in PGIL?
High historical volatility (57%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.