Case study

PGIL

Pearl Global Industries Limited

Mixed signals1y model -1.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

53Score

Pearl Global Industries Limited (PGIL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is PGIL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Pearl Global Industries Limited (PGIL) trades at ₹2,464,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100.

On the numbers, Pearl Global Industries Limited (PGIL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100, weighing premium at 36.3× earnings, ROE of 21.0%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

PGIL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹11,382 Cr
Current price
₹2,464
P/E ratio
36.3×
P/B ratio
7.80×
Book value
₹316
Dividend yield
0.59%
ROCE
19.9%
ROE
21.0%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How PGIL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is PGIL overvalued? PGIL P/E vs peers

PGIL trades at 36.3× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

PGIL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of PGIL history (32%/yr drift, 55%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
PGIL 2027₹1,203₹2,432₹4,917-1%
PGIL 2028₹891₹2,400₹6,460-3%
PGIL 2029₹714₹2,368₹7,852-4%
PGIL 2030₹585₹2,337₹9,338-5%
PGIL 2031₹474₹2,306₹11,218-6%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability PGIL goes up, or doubles?

49%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
48%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
27%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹4,928 within 5 years

The bull case for PGIL

  • PGIL's return on equity of 21.0% ranks in the 85th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • PGIL's return on capital employed of 19.9% ranks in the 80th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹7,852.

The bear case & risks

  • PGIL's P/E of 36.3x is lower than 38% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (55%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹714.

PGIL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years PGIL compounded at 32%/year with annualized volatility of 55%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,203-₹4,917, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

PGIL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
1.3%
80% range₹1,203-₹4,917
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)10%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
3.9%
80% range₹714-₹7,852
P(price ↑)48%
P(price 2×)22%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
6.4%
80% range₹474-₹11,218
P(price ↑)48%
P(price 2×)27%

PGIL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
PGIL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds PGIL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the PGIL price target & forecast page.

PGIL Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. PGIL scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

PGIL MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy PGIL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST38.74%2.6×
Zerodha39.28%2.5×
Groww38.78%2.6×
Dhan39.28%2.5×
Kotak Neo40.00%2.5×
Paytm Money38.95%2.6×
Pocketful39.22%2.5×
Anand Rathi39.28%2.5×
Bajaj Broking50.00%2.0×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST38.74%2.6×

Compare every broker on the PGIL MTF page.

About Pearl Global Industries Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Pearl Global Industries Limited (PGIL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹11,382 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the PGIL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Pearl Global Industries Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

PGIL analysis, FAQs

Is Pearl Global Industries Limited (PGIL) a good buy?

On the numbers, Pearl Global Industries Limited (PGIL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100, weighing premium at 36.3× earnings, ROE of 21.0%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is PGIL overvalued or undervalued?

PGIL trades at 36.3× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the PGIL share price target for 2031?

PGIL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹2,306, with an 80% range of ₹474-₹11,218 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability PGIL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of PGIL reaching ₹4,928 (2×) within 5 years is 27%.

What is the bull case for PGIL?

PGIL's return on equity of 21.0% ranks in the 85th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. PGIL's return on capital employed of 19.9% ranks in the 80th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in PGIL?

PGIL's P/E of 36.3x is lower than 38% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (55%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on PGIL