Case study

PHARMABEES

Nippon AMC - NETF Pharma

Worth a closer look1y model +12.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Nippon AMC - NETF Pharma (PHARMABEES) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is PHARMABEES a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100.

On the numbers, Nippon AMC - NETF Pharma (PHARMABEES) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing a 77% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

PHARMABEES share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 1.9y of PHARMABEES history (13%/yr drift, 15%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
PHARMABEES 2027₹23₹29₹35+12%
PHARMABEES 2028₹24₹32₹42+26%
PHARMABEES 2029₹25₹36₹50+41%
PHARMABEES 2030₹27₹40₹59+58%
PHARMABEES 2031₹29₹45₹70+77%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability PHARMABEES goes up, or doubles?

77%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
95%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
36%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹51 within 5 years

The bull case for PHARMABEES

  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 77% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹29 (+12%).
  • Relatively low volatility (15%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹50.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹25.

PHARMABEES volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 1.9 years PHARMABEES compounded at 13%/year with annualized volatility of 15%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹23₹35, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

PHARMABEES price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 1.9 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
12.4%
80% range₹23–₹35
P(price ↑)77%
P(price 2×)0%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
41.1%
80% range₹25–₹50
P(price ↑)90%
P(price 2×)9%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
76.6%
80% range₹29–₹70
P(price ↑)95%
P(price 2×)36%

PHARMABEES price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
PHARMABEES simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds PHARMABEES hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the PHARMABEES price target & forecast page.

PHARMABEES MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy PHARMABEES with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST26.5%3.8×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST26.5%3.8×
DhanCHEAPEST26.5%3.8×

Compare every broker on the PHARMABEES MTF page.

PHARMABEES vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
PHARMABEES (this stock)
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About Nippon AMC - NETF Pharma: sector, index & market-cap context

Nippon AMC - NETF Pharma (PHARMABEES) is an NSE-listed company.

How the PHARMABEES Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Nippon AMC - NETF Pharma's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

PHARMABEES analysis, FAQs

Is Nippon AMC - NETF Pharma (PHARMABEES) a good buy?

On the numbers, Nippon AMC - NETF Pharma (PHARMABEES) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing a 77% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is PHARMABEES overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation ratios for PHARMABEES are tracked live on Downstox.

What is the PHARMABEES share price target for 2031?

PHARMABEES's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹45, with an 80% range of ₹29₹70 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability PHARMABEES doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of PHARMABEES reaching ₹51 (2×) within 5 years is 36%.

What is the bull case for PHARMABEES?

A 10,000-path probability model puts a 77% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹29 (+12%). Relatively low volatility (15%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.

What are the risks in PHARMABEES?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on PHARMABEES